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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
Seattle Mariners

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
53.8%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Seattle Mariners Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings -106

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at T-Mobile Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.0%
The price says48.9%
Best price-106
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners Lean49% chance -106
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Spread Long-shot23% chance
Spread Long-shot19% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot19% chance
Total Runs Long-shot24% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Walks × 8 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits × 3 props Leanup to 56%
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 64%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Over 7.5 · $100 returned $550

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Seattle Mariners
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Seattle MarinersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Kevin Gausman SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

Kade Anderson SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Shota Imanaga Pitcher - Walks
Bryce Miller SEA Pitcher - Walks
Cole Young Batter - Walks
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Dominic Canzone Batter - Hits

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
1.8runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATHHome
W2–0ATHHome
L6–7ATHHome
L4–7ATHHome
W8–3BOSAway
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–10MIAAway
W6–5MIAAway
W6–1MIAAway

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Seattle Mariners are scoring 3.6 runs per game (4-1) while Chicago Cubs are at 1.8 (2-3); Seattle Mariners pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 2.4 for Chicago Cubs.

3.6
Seattle Mariners runs/G
1.8
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesSeattle MarinersChicago Cubs
Runs / game3.61.8
Hits / game4.63.6
Home runs / game0.41.0
Walks drawn / game0.21.2
Batter K / game1.41.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.02.4
Pitching K / game0.81.0
Walks allowed / game0.41.4
L5 record4-12-3

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 2, Chicago Cubs won 3.

DateSeattle MarinersChicago CubsWinner
Aug 23219Chicago Cubs
Aug 2265Seattle Mariners
Aug 2254Seattle Mariners
Mar 2217Chicago Cubs
Mar 1247Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Brennen Davis CFOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Emerson Hancock SPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Our Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Alex Bregman (HOU) Under 0.5 RBIs (-303), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 10.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 53.8% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 13–6 across the last 20 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 11.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners2–19Chicago Cubs
22 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners6–5Seattle Mariners
21 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners6–5Seattle Mariners
22 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners1–7Chicago Cubs
21 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners1–7Chicago Cubs
12 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs7–4Chicago Cubs
22 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs6–14Seattle Mariners
21 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs10–7Chicago Cubs
20 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs4–9Seattle Mariners
8 Mar 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs9–8Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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