Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
MLB

Houston Astros

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Philadelphia Phillies (Away) Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 30 bookmakers compared
Winner
Houston Astros2.63+163Kalshi
Phillies1.59-169BetOnline
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100Kalshi
Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies odds by bookmaker

30 books · best price in green
BookHouston Astros winPhillies winPhillies -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
Bally Bet2.45+1451.56-179—1.92-1091.89-112
BetMGM2.50+1501.54-1852.15+1151.91-1101.91-110
BetOnline2.54+1541.59-1692.20+1201.91-1101.91-110
betPARX2.45+1451.56-179—1.92-1091.89-112
BetRivers2.45+1451.56-179—1.92-1091.89-112
BetUS2.50+1501.59-1692.20+1201.91-1101.91-110
Bovada2.49+1491.55-1822.25+1251.91-1101.91-110
DraftKings2.52+1521.54-1852.14+1141.93-1081.89-112
ESPN BET2.50+1501.57-1752.20+1201.91-1101.91-110
Fanatics2.50+1501.56-1792.25+1251.91-1101.91-110
FanDuel2.50+1501.56-1792.22+1221.91-1101.91-110
Fliff2.50+1501.53-1892.15+1151.91-1101.87-115
Hard Rock Bet2.45+1451.57-1752.20+1201.91-1101.91-110
Kalshi2.63+1631.56-1782.27+1272.00+1001.96-104

Since the market opened: Phillies to win opened 1.58, best now 1.63; the over 8.5 opened 1.89, best now 2.02 (decimal, best book).

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb pitcher strikeouts unders · 77 of 124 · +$731
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Answer
The Houston Astros model is leaning the over in the Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings market vs Philadelphia Phillies.
the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.7
Points allowed per game3.2

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over 0.5
Odds: -115
Our numbers say this wins about 48 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands
-5.2%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet. Cancel anytime.

Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Thu 10 SepPhiladelphia PhilliesAwayCitizens Bank ParkPreview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
8 SepPhiladelphia PhilliesAway6–5WRecap →
6 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome2–3LRecap →
5 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome3–1WRecap →
5 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome3–4LRecap →
3 SepChicago White SoxHome2–0WRecap →
3 SepChicago White SoxHome6–2WRecap →
2 SepChicago White SoxHome1–5LRecap →
1 SepChicago White SoxHome6–3WRecap →
30 AugNew York MetsAway6–3WRecap →
29 AugNew York MetsAway2–6LRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Updated 9 Sep 2026, 22:40 UTC
CF
Brice MatthewsOUTinjury
RP
Steven OkertOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WalterOUTinjuryMike BurrowsOUTinjury
SS
Carlos CorreaOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineHouston Astros run line+1 +104
86%cover %
-3.4proj. margin
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.0Away L53-2Free board19-16

Houston Astros spread vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 86% (HIGH); proj. margin -3.4.

MoneylineHouston Astros to win+152
59%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.0Away L53-2Free board19-14

Houston Astros moneyline vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 59% (LEAN); L5 record 4-1.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Philadelphia PhilliesOver 9.5 +140
10.5proj. runs
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.0Away L53-2Free board14-14

Houston Astros total runs vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 47% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 10.5.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
3.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.0Away L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Houston Astros have gone 4-1 over their last 5 games, averaging 3.6 runs and 5.0 hits per game while allowing 1.2 earned runs.

4-1
Last 5
3.6
Runs / G
5.0
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
3.0
RBI / G
1.2
ER Allowed / G
4.0
Ks / G

About This Team

Houston Astros are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Houston Astros.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.