MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Houston Astros (Home) Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 30 bookmakers compared

Winner

Houston Astros2.63+163Kalshi

Phillies1.59-169BetOnline

Total runs

Over8.52.00+100Kalshi

Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies odds by bookmaker

30 books · best price in green

Book	Houston Astros win	Phillies win	Phillies -1.5	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bally Bet	2.45+145	1.56-179	—	1.92-109	1.89-112
BetMGM	2.50+150	1.54-185	2.15+115	1.91-110	1.91-110
BetOnline	2.54+154	1.59-169	2.20+120	1.91-110	1.91-110
betPARX	2.45+145	1.56-179	—	1.92-109	1.89-112
BetRivers	2.45+145	1.56-179	—	1.92-109	1.89-112
BetUS	2.50+150	1.59-169	2.20+120	1.91-110	1.91-110
Bovada	2.49+149	1.55-182	2.25+125	1.91-110	1.91-110
DraftKings	2.52+152	1.54-185	2.14+114	1.93-108	1.89-112
ESPN BET	2.50+150	1.57-175	2.20+120	1.91-110	1.91-110
Fanatics	2.50+150	1.56-179	2.25+125	1.91-110	1.91-110
FanDuel	2.50+150	1.56-179	2.22+122	1.91-110	1.91-110
Fliff	2.50+150	1.53-189	2.15+115	1.91-110	1.87-115
Hard Rock Bet	2.45+145	1.57-175	2.20+120	1.91-110	1.91-110
Kalshi	2.63+163	1.56-178	2.27+127	2.00+100	1.96-104

Since the market opened: Phillies to win opened 1.58, best now 1.63; the over 8.5 opened 1.89, best now 2.02 (decimal, best book).

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb pitcher strikeouts unders · 77 of 124 · +$731

Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

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Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC

Answer

The Philadelphia Phillies model is leaning the over in the Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings market vs Houston Astros.

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Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.4

Points allowed per game2.5

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call

Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings

Over 0.5

Odds: -115

Our numbers say this wins about 48 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands

-5.2%

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Upcoming Games

Next 1

Date	Opponent	Where	Venue	Prediction
Thu 10 Sep	Houston Astros	Home	Citizens Bank Park	Preview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Score	Result	Recap
8 Sep	Houston Astros	Home	5–6	L	Recap →
7 Sep	Atlanta Braves	Home	1–0	W	Recap →
6 Sep	Atlanta Braves	Home	4–5	L	Recap →
5 Sep	Atlanta Braves	Home	4–2	W	Recap →
4 Sep	Atlanta Braves	Home	2–5	L	Recap →
2 Sep	Arizona Diamondbacks	Away	0–1	L	Recap →
2 Sep	Arizona Diamondbacks	Away	7–1	W	Recap →
1 Sep	Arizona Diamondbacks	Away	2–1	W	Recap →
30 Aug	Los Angeles Angels	Away	5–2	W	Recap →
30 Aug	Los Angeles Angels	Away	4–2	W	Recap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price

Market	Model output
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Spread	With Pro
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Moneyline	With Pro
Total Runs	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	With Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 9 Sep 2026, 22:40 UTC

CF

Johan RojasOUTinjury

LF

Felix ReyesOUTinjury

RF

Adolis GarciaOUTinjury

RP

Brad KellerOUTinjuryCaleb KilianOUTinjuryTanner BanksOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

3 markets live

Run LineMoneylineTotal RunsTeam Total Runs

Run LineHouston Astros run line+1 +104

-3.4proj. margin

L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2

Philadelphia Phillies spread vs Houston Astros is live (HIGH); proj. margin -3.4.

MoneylineHouston Astros favored (model)+152

3-2L5 record

L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline vs Houston Astros is live (LEAN); L5 record 3-2.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston AstrosOver 9.5 +140

10.5proj. runs

L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2

Philadelphia Phillies total runs vs Houston Astros is live and our model makes it 47% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 10.5.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted

2.2L5 runs/gm

L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

Philadelphia Phillies have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 1.8 runs and 3.0 hits per game while allowing 2.0 earned runs.

3-2

Last 5

1.8

Runs / G

3.0

Hits / G

0.4

HR / G

1.4

RBI / G

2.0

ER Allowed / G

3.6

Ks / G

About This Team

Philadelphia Phillies are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Houston Astros on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Philadelphia Phillies.

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