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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Phillies
VS
Los Angeles Angels

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:24AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Angel Stadium, Anaheim
Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 8:07PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Runs +1200

The model graded 70 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,300 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Aug 2026, 8:07PM at Angel Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win6.8%
The price says7.3%
Best price+1200
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 2.5 Long-shot7% chance +1200
Total Runs Long-shot3% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot31% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot15% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot35% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot8% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High89% chance —
Total Runs High87% chance —
Total Runs High91% chance —
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Highup to 62% —
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 67% —
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Highup to 60% —
Batter - RBIs × 9 props —
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels last met on Sun 30 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
3.5
+560
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles AngelsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Cristopher Sanchez SP

Los Angeles Angels

  • Sam Bachman RPOut
  • Nolan Schanuel 1BOut
  • George Klassen SPOut
  • Gustavo Campero OFOut
  • Yoan Moncada 3BOut
  • Jack Kochanowicz SPOut
  • Robert Stephenson RPOut
  • Anthony Rendon 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Johnson SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 10:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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The preview

Written 31 Aug

Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Bryson Stott Under 0.5 RBIs (-312), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Singles (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Singles (-175). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bryson Stott Under 0.5 RBIs (-312)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryson Stott Under 0.5 RBIs (-312). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Josh Lowe Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Lowe Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-294). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -294 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 6 Total Runs (+181)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 6 Total Runs (+181). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +181 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 7 Total Runs (+118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 7 Total Runs (+118). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 6.5 Total Runs (+144)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 6.5 Total Runs (+144). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +144 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 31 Aug

Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Walks (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Walks (-303). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Walks (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Walks (-455). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Wade Meckler Under 0.5 RBIs (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Wade Meckler Under 0.5 RBIs (-500). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Runs Scored
Alec Bohm PHI Batter - Hits
Kyle Schwarber Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Trea Turner WSN Batter - RBIs
Trea Turner LAD Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles AngelsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3Free board13-12

Los Angeles Angels moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Angels run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3

Los Angeles Angels spread form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia PhilliesNo line posted

Los Angeles Angels total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Angels team totalNo line posted
1.8runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3

Los Angeles Angels team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels — recent results

Los Angeles Angels have won 3 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Angels — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4BOSAway
W6–1BOSAway
L2–5BOSAway
L0–1PITAway
W6–1PITAway
Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–7HOUHome
L5–6HOUHome
W1–0ATLHome
L4–5ATLHome
W4–2ATLHome

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Angels are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while Philadelphia Phillies are at 1.4 (2-3); Los Angeles Angels pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Philadelphia Phillies.

1.4
Los Angeles Angels runs/G
1.4
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles AngelsPhiladelphia Phillies
Runs / game1.41.4
Hits / game1.44.0
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game1.21.0
Batter K / game1.63.4
Earned runs allowed / game1.01.2
Pitching K / game0.82.2
Walks allowed / game1.60.8
L5 record3-22-3

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Angels won 0, Philadelphia Phillies won 3.

DateLos Angeles AngelsPhiladelphia PhilliesWinner
Aug 3024Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 3025Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 2935Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Angels
PlayerStatus
Sam Bachman RPOUT
Nolan Schanuel 1BOUT
George Klassen SPOUT
Gustavo Campero OFOUT
Yoan Moncada 3BOUT
Jack Kochanowicz SPOUT
Robert Stephenson RPOUT
Anthony Rendon 3BOUT
Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Tanner Banks RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels — model preview

Our Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels prediction for August 31, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Bryson Stott Under 0.5 RBIs (-312), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Phillies vs Angels, or as Angels vs Phillies. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 August 2026 at Angel Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Philadelphia Phillies 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 10.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels2–4Philadelphia Phillies
29 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels3–5Philadelphia Phillies
28 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels3–5Philadelphia Phillies
20 Jul 2025Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies2–8Los Angeles Angels
19 Jul 2025Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies9–5Philadelphia Phillies
18 Jul 2025Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies5–6Los Angeles Angels
1 May 2024Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels1–2Philadelphia Phillies
30 Apr 2024Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels5–7Philadelphia Phillies
29 Apr 2024Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels6–5Los Angeles Angels
30 Aug 2023Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies8–10Los Angeles Angels

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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