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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
San Francisco Giants

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 9:45PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Outdoor
Sat 21 Jun 2025, 8:05PM
0
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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All 0 game markets and 8 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,781+ members.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Willson Contreras 1BOut
  • Adley Rutschman CDay-to-day
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Ceddanne Rafaela CFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut

San Francisco Giants

  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Sam Hentges RPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut
Availability updated Sep 9, 9:16PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 34 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability34 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jarren Duran BOS Batter - Stolen Bases
David Hamilton BOS Batter - Stolen Bases
Romy Gonzalez BOS Batter - Stolen Bases
Robbie Ray SFG Pitcher - Walks
Robbie Ray SFG Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Francisco GiantsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Boston Red Sox L53-2

San Francisco Giants moneyline form: last five 4-1, 2.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Francisco Giants run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Boston Red Sox L53-2

San Francisco Giants spread form: last five 4-1, 2.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

San Francisco Giants total runs form: last five 4-1, 2.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Francisco Giants team totalNo line posted
1.6runs we expect
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Boston Red Sox L53-2

San Francisco Giants team total runs form: last five 4-1, 2.8 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants — 0 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants — recent results

San Francisco Giants have won 4 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5.

San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1STLHome
W7–6STLHome
W5–4STLHome
L2–4NYMAway
W9–5NYMAway
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6LAAHome
L1–6LAAHome
W5–2LAAHome
W3–1BALAway
W5–0BALAway

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: San Francisco Giants won 0, Boston Red Sox won 3.

DateSan Francisco GiantsBoston Red SoxWinner
Aug 2345Boston Red Sox
Aug 2223Boston Red Sox
Aug 2146Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

34 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Keaton Winn RPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Willson Contreras 1BOUT
Adley Rutschman CDAY-TO-DAY
Tanner Houck SPOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Kutter Crawford SPOUT
Johan Oviedo SPOUT
Ceddanne Rafaela CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants — model preview

Deep dive into San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Ceddanne Rafaela. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox stats and odds.

Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ceddanne Rafaela for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is primarily based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Rafaela's overall and away batting stolen bases average is 0.4, suggesting that he is less likely to steal a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his current hit streak is at zero overall and only one away, indicating a recent dip in his offensive performance. Also noteworthy is his performance against the Giants, where he has not stolen a base in the last five games. The absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the data does not significantly alter this prediction as his stolen base averages are already low. Based on these statistics, betting under 0.5 for Rafaela's stolen bases is a statistically sound choice.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Giants, or as Giants vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 June 2025 at Oracle Park. The model has generated 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Boston Red Sox 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 7.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox5–4Boston Red Sox
22 Aug 2026San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox3–2Boston Red Sox
21 Aug 2026San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox6–4Boston Red Sox
22 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants9–5San Francisco Giants
21 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants3–2San Francisco Giants
20 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants5–7Boston Red Sox
2 May 2024San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox1–3San Francisco Giants
1 May 2024San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox6–2Boston Red Sox
30 Apr 2024San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox4–0Boston Red Sox
30 Jul 2023Boston Red Sox @ San Francisco Giants4–3San Francisco Giants

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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