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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:21PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM
20
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings +104

The model graded 28 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.5%
The price says49.0%
Best price+104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 High62% chance +104
Total Runs High71% chance
Total Runs Long-shot34% chance
Total Runs High63% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High64% chance
Spread Long-shot35% chance
Spread Long-shot28% chance
Total Runs Long-shot30% chance
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 74%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 88%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Sat 25 Jul 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:39PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dane Myers MIA Batter - Hits
Sal Stewart Batter - Total Bases
Edwin Arroyo Batter - Hits
Rhett Lowder Pitcher - Strikeouts
Elly De La Cruz Batter - Total Bases

+ 8 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 28 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 28 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3LADAway
L3–6LADAway
W12–8MILHome
W5–3MILHome
L7–10MILHome

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 2.8 runs per game (3-2) while Cincinnati Reds are at 3.8 (3-2); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 1.6 for Cincinnati Reds.

2.8
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
3.8
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsCincinnati Reds
Runs / game2.83.8
Hits / game5.04.0
Home runs / game0.21.2
Walks drawn / game1.20.2
Batter K / game1.22.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.81.6
Pitching K / game2.43.2
Walks allowed / game1.00.6
L5 record3-23-2

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 6, Cincinnati Reds won 4.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsCincinnati RedsWinner
Aug 20109St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1945Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1830St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1756Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1721St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 2635Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2524Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2570St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 753St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 6103St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for St. Louis Cardinals playing Cincinnati Reds. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds : St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+180)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As we approach this pivotal matchup, the St. Louis Cardinals are showing signs of life that could spell trouble for the Cincinnati Reds. Over the past few weeks, the Cardinals have harnessed their offensive firepower, averaging over five runs per game, while their lineup has been particularly deadly at home. With the way Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are swinging the bat, they’re more than capable of breaking through Cincinnati’s pitching. On the mound, the Cardinals' starter boasts a solid ERA that has dropped significantly over his last few outings, indicating he's hitting his stride just in time. In contrast, the Reds have struggled on the road and their bullpen has been shaky, often giving up crucial late-game runs. Given these trends, laying the -1.5 on St. Louis feels like a calculated risk that could pay off handsomely as they aim to secure a decisive victory at Busch Stadium.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Saturday 25 July 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 49 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 25–24 across the last 49 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
20 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds9–10St. Louis Cardinals
19 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds5–4Cincinnati Reds
18 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds0–3St. Louis Cardinals
17 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds6–5Cincinnati Reds
26 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals3–5Cincinnati Reds
25 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals7–0St. Louis Cardinals
24 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals2–4Cincinnati Reds
7 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals5–3St. Louis Cardinals
6 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals10–3St. Louis Cardinals
5 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals10–3St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 49 meetings on file.

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