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The latest Bet Better model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 43%, implied 39%, edge +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 9 of the last 10
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 6:09AM UTC
MLB

Elly De La Cruz

MLB

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
+4.3% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Fri 11 Sep, 11:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 43.5% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +4.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits43.5%43.2%39.2%2.32+4.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+155)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Elly De La Cruz has been solid, but he averages just one single in every ten games at Great American Ball Park. This bet is about whether he can get a hit against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers have been tough on hitters against left-handed starters this year, managing to keep opponents from scoring too many runs. Cincinnati has been struggling lately, coming out about 1.8 runs behind in their last 12 games. Even though De La Cruz has some good stats, this matchup against Milwaukee may not be kind to him. Betting on him to get under 0.5 hits carries a real chance of winning, but the risk is that he could break out any day now.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Elly De La Cruz's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
-192 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Elly De La Cruz hit?

Elly De La Cruz's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -192 across 6 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Elly De La Cruz is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
0.8
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.4
Walks
2.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Elly De La Cruz has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 29% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.529%
o1.529%
o2.529%
o3.529%
o4.514%

Home / away and opponent splits

Elly De La Cruz is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs LAD
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
Quick answers:How many home runs does Elly De La Cruz hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +152 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +277 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Over +970 ✗ MISS
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Elly De La Cruz is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers on Friday 11 September at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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