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The latest Bet Better model pick for Edwin Arroyo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 45%, implied 50%, edge -8.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
MLB

Edwin Arroyo

MLB

-8.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
-8.1% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
42 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 41.9% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap -8.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits41.9%45.0%50.0%2.18-8.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

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AI Analysis

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Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds for Edwin Arroyo to get less than half a hit are at even money, which is a good opportunity given his recent slump. He has only been hitting about a third of a time per game in his last three outings, and that's well below his usual rate. Plus, the Brewers' starting pitcher is allowing over five runs for every nine innings he pitches, which could mean fewer chances for Arroyo to get a hit. On top of that, Arroyo faces a tough matchup against Milwaukee, who have been solid against left-handed pitchers this year. The Reds have also been pretty even at home and away, and with Arroyo struggling lately, this bet has a real chance of coming through. Just remember, nothing is certain in baseball!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 95.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Edwin Arroyo has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.533%
o1.533%
o2.533%
o3.50%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits Pending
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Doubles Pending
04 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Edwin Arroyo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 95.7% on tracked Edwin Arroyo picks. The latest model pick for Edwin Arroyo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds on Saturday 5 September at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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