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Model picks & player props
Brisbane Lions
VS
Richmond Tigers

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 1:53PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
Ninja Stadium, Hobart
Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun 2026, 3:10AM
0
Game markets graded
13
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lions

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tigers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jarrod Berry Brisbane Lions Disposals
Tom Brown Richmond Disposals
Ben Miller Richmond Disposals
Jayden Short Richmond Disposals
Seth Campbell Richmond Goals

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Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for Brisbane Lions at Richmond Tigers — 0 on the game itself and 13 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers — recent results

Richmond Tigers have won 0 of their last 0 games; Brisbane Lions have won 3 of their last 5.

Brisbane Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L88–141SYDAway
W159–96COLLAway
W95–53SUNSHome
W125–58HAWHome
L78–154CARLAway

Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Richmond Tigers playing Brisbane Lions. Includes analysis on key players like Tom Brown. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Richmond Tigers vs Brisbane Lions stats and odds.

Tom Brown (Richmond) Over 11.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Tom Brown's recent form at Ninja Stadium, it's clear he thrives on his home turf. Over his last 5 home games, Brown has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 12.4 disposals per game. His ability to find the ball in traffic is evident with an average of 3.8 contested possessions, while maintaining an impressive disposal efficiency of 78.9%. With the Tigers hosting the Brisbane Lions, a team against whom Brown has historically performed well in terms of disposals, averaging 13.5 over their last 5 encounters, the stage is set for him to once again shine. With a line set at 11.5 disposals, backing Brown to surpass this mark seems like a smart play given his recent consistency and the favorable matchup.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Lions vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Lions. The most recent game between them was Sunday 14 June 2026 at Ninja Stadium. The model has generated 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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