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Model picks & player props
Richmond Tigers
VS
North Melbourne Kangaroos

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 3:10AM
6
Game markets graded
14
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 180.5 Total Points -114

The model graded 20 markets for Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Apr 2026, 3:10AM at Marvel Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win71.6%
The price says53.2%
Best price-114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 180.5 High72% chance -114
Spread High63% chance
Spread Lean58% chance
Spread Lean57% chance
Disposals × 10 props Highup to 82%
Goals × 4 props Highup to 92%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Richmond Tigers and North Melbourne Kangaroos last met on Sun 19 Apr 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
180.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tigers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tim Taranto Richmond Disposals
Jonty Faull Richmond Goals
Jayden Short Richmond Disposals
Nick Vlastuin Richmond Disposals
Jack Darling North Melbourne Goals

+ 14 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Richmond Tigers at North Melbourne Kangaroos — 6 on the game itself and 14 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
14
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos — model preview

Latest AFL betting preview: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Aidan Corr. Keywords: AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers stats and odds.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers : North Melbourne Kangaroos -30.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fans, let's dive into this intriguing clash between the North Melbourne Kangaroos and the Richmond Tigers at Marvel Stadium. The Kangaroos have been showing some promising form lately, especially at home. In their last five home games, they've been averaging a solid 100.6 points for and have been keeping their opponents to 87 points against on average. Their inside 50s and shots on goal have been impressive too, with averages of 53 and 29.6 respectively. On the flip side, the Tigers have been struggling on the road, averaging a mere 57.8 points for and conceding 108.2 points against in their last five away games. With the Kangaroos boasting a strong offensive game at home and the Tigers faltering on the road, backing North Melbourne Kangaroos -30.5 in the spread market seems like a savvy play.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Kangaroos, or as Kangaroos vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 April 2026 at Marvel Stadium. The model has generated 6 game picks and 14 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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