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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tim Taranto is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 51%, implied 61%, edge +15.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Tim Taranto

Richmond

+15.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
+15.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 9:45AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
26.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.5% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap +15.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.5%51.1%61.0%1.96+15.5%

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AI Analysis

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Tim Taranto (Richmond) Over 22.5 Disposals (-156)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to a player prop bet that's as tantalizing as a perfectly timed speccy, look no further than Tim Taranto hitting Over 22.5 disposals in the upcoming clash against the Geelong Cats. Taranto has been a midfield maestro lately, averaging a whopping 24.2 disposals in his last five away games. His ball-winning prowess is undeniable, especially against the Cats where he's been even more prolific, notching an average of 26.3 disposals in his recent showdowns. With a current hit rate of 4 out of 5 away games and an overall hit rate of 10 out of 12, Taranto is primed to control the pill and be a linchpin in the Tigers' midfield. Lock in the Over with confidence, as Taranto looks set to rack up the possessions and lead the charge in enemy territory like a true warrior of the yellow and black.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Tim Taranto averaged 25.0 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

25.0
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.5
Marks
5.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Tim Taranto recorded 30 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS300814
18 Aug 24Hawthorn18014
11 Aug 24St Kilda25031
3 Aug 24North Melbourne27058
28 Jul 24Collingwood11022
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS27025
6 Jul 24Fremantle26137
30 Jun 24Carlton27122
15 Jun 24Hawthorn33165
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows26048
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 22.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 21.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 20.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Handballs Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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About This Player

Tim Taranto (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tim Taranto is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 22 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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