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Model picks & player props
St Kilda Saints
VS
North Melbourne Kangaroos

St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:45AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul 2026, 5:15AM
20
Game markets graded
17
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 40.5 Team Total Points H1 -120

The model graded 37 markets for St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 26 Jul 2026, 5:15AM at Marvel Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.7%
The price says54.6%
Best price-120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Points H1 Under 40.5 High64% chance -120
Spread Lean59% chance
Moneyline High73% chance
Team Total Points Q1 High61% chance
Total Points Lean58% chance
Spread Q2 Lean56% chance
Total Points Q3 Lean56% chance
Total Points H2 Lean55% chance
Total Points Q1 Lean56% chance
Goals × 8 props Highup to 93%
Disposals × 9 props Highup to 86%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

St Kilda Saints and North Melbourne Kangaroos last met on Sun 26 Jul 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 40.5 · $100 returned $181

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total Points H1
Under
40.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 17 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St Kilda SaintsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St Kilda SaintsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St Kilda SaintsSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St Kilda SaintsSpread Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St Kilda SaintsSpread Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Saints

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Mitch Owens St Kilda Goals
Bradley Hill St Kilda Disposals
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera St Kilda Disposals
Cooper Sharman St Kilda Goals
Colby McKercher North Melbourne Disposals

+ 17 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos — what the model found

Our model graded 37 betting markets for St Kilda Saints at North Melbourne Kangaroos — 20 on the game itself and 17 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
17
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 37 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 36 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs St Kilda Saints. Includes analysis on key players like Caleb Daniel. Discover AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, North Melbourne Kangaroos vs St Kilda Saints stats and odds.

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) Over 22.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Caleb Daniel. When the Kangaroos host the Saints at Marvel Stadium, Daniel's recent form screams 'back me.' Over his last five home games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 26.6 touches per game. Against St Kilda specifically, he's managed 24 disposals on average. Plus, his disposal efficiency sits at an impressive 92.1% at home. With his ability to find space, rack up uncontested possessions, and set up plays, hitting over 22.5 disposals seems like a walk in the park for him. So, if you're eyeing a prop bet to snag, putting your money on Daniel to surpass that mark could be a savvy move. Trust the numbers, trust the trend, trust Caleb Daniel to deliver the goods on the field.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
19
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
26 Jul 26 Team Total Points H1 Under 40.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Team Total Points Q1 Under 20.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Total Points H2 Under 87.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Total Points H1 Under 87.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Total Points Q3 Under 44.5 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 26 Total Points Q1 Under 44.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Spread Q4 St Kilda Saints -3.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Spread Q3 St Kilda Saints -3.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Spread Q2 St Kilda Saints -2.5 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 26 Total Points Under 175.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Spread St Kilda Saints -12.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Moneyline St Kilda Saints ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Spread Q2 St Kilda Saints -3.5 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 26 Team Total Points H1 Under 46.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 Total Points H2 Under 88.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Saints vs Kangaroos, or as Kangaroos vs Saints. The most recent game between them was Sunday 26 July 2026 at Marvel Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 17 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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