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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonty Faull is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 63%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:07AM UTC
AFL

Jonty Faull

Richmond

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+16.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.9% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +16.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals79.9%63.3%1.25+16.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jonty Faull (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in footy betting, sometimes you've got to dig deep into the stats to uncover hidden gems. Jonty Faull might not be the first name that springs to mind when you think of goal-kicking machines, but hear me out on this one. Sure, his recent form hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard, but against North Melbourne's defense, there's a glimmer of hope. In his last five away games, Jonty has been getting looks at goal, averaging 2.2 shots per game. With his goal accuracy hovering around 14.7%, all it takes is a couple of those shots to split the middle, and we're on our way to cashing in. Plus, with an average of 1.4 marks inside 50 and 3.6 score involvements, he's getting in the right positions to snag a goal. North Melbourne might not be the toughest nut to crack defensively, so at those odds, backing Jonty Faull to snag at least one goal feels like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jonty Faull - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jonty Faull (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonty Faull is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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