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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 64%, edge +18.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:44AM UTC
AFL

Nick Vlastuin

Richmond

+18.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
+18.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
19.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.5% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +18.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.5%64.1%1.21+18.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball winners, Nick Vlastuin stands out like a beacon in the night. He's been a consistent force on the field, especially in away games where he's been a prolific distributor, averaging 15.4 disposals in his last five outings. His ability to cover ground efficiently is evident in his 282.4 metres gained per game. Against North Melbourne, he's maintained a solid average of 15 disposals, showing he's comfortable performing against this opponent. With a stellar handball game and an eye for intercepts, Vlastuin's all-around skills make him a prime candidate to surpass the 14.5 disposal line. Plus, his impressive 88.3% disposal efficiency ensures that when he gets the ball, he makes it count. Betting on Vlastuin to go over 14.5 disposals is a smart play given his recent form and historical performance against the Kangaroos.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Nick Vlastuin averaged 20.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

20.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Nick Vlastuin recorded 26 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS26081
18 Aug 24Hawthorn240101
11 Aug 24St Kilda21063
3 Aug 24North Melbourne21062
28 Jul 24Collingwood230120
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS17065
6 Jul 24Fremantle19060
30 Jun 24Carlton21043
15 Jun 24Hawthorn23096
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14071
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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