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Model picks & player props
Washington Commanders
VS
Philadelphia Eagles

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Philadelphia
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
37
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 Spreads H1 +105

The model graded 57 markets for Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM at Philadelphia.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.9%
The price says48.8%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spreads H1 Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 High67% chance +105
Alternate Spreads H2 High65% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Lean48% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Lean48% chance —
Spreads Q3 High61% chance —
Alternate Spreads H2 High65% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High65% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean52% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High65% chance —
Last Touchdown Scorer × 5 props Long-shotup to 29% —
Receptions × 2 props Highup to 77% —
Receiving Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% —
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 84% —
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Philadelphia Eagles are the model's favourite to beat Washington Commanders, with a 64% chance to win. Predicted score: Philadelphia Eagles 28.4 – Washington Commanders 21.2. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM at Philadelphia. Best bet: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 at +105.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 22 bookmakers compared
Winner
Commanders3.13+212Kalshi
Eagles1.47-212Kalshi
Total points
Over44.52.08+108Kalshi
Under44.51.89-113Kalshi
Market cooling on Washington Commanders: 2.91 → 3.00 (20 books)

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles odds by bookmaker

22 books · best price in green
BookCommanders winEagles winEagles -5Over 44.5Under 44.5
Kalshi3.13+2121.47-212—2.08+1081.89-113
Polymarket3.18+2171.46-217—2.06+1061.94-106
Bally Bet—————
BetAnySports—————
BetMGM—————
BetOnline—————
betPARX—————
BetRivers—————
BetUS—————
Bovada——1.91-110——
DraftKings—————
ESPN BET—————
Fanatics——1.91-110——
FanDuel—————

Since the market opened: Eagles to win opened 1.44, best now 1.47; the over 44.5 opened 1.90, best now 2.08 (decimal, best book).

Market cooling on Washington Commanders: 2.91 → 3.00 (20 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spreads H1
Philadelphia Eagles
-3.5
+105
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 37 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia EaglesSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesSpreads Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia EaglesSpreads Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Over on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Over
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Commanders

  • K'Lavon Chaisson LBQuestionable
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt RBQuestionable
  • Odafe Oweh LBQuestionable
  • Jer'Zhan Newton DTOut
  • Laremy Tunsil OTOut
  • Deatrich Wise Jr. DEOut
  • Trey Amos CBOut
  • Jeremy McNichols RBOut

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Jonathan Greenard LBQuestionable
  • Eli Stowers TEQuestionable
  • Andre' Sam SOut
  • Jakorian Bennett CBOut
  • Grant Calcaterra TEOut
  • Johnny Wilson WROut
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:04AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles: Outdoors with 11 mph wind, 40°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind11 mph
Temperature40°F
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
DeVonta Smith PHI Last Touchdown Scorer
Dallas Goedert PHI Receptions
Dallas Goedert PHI Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley PHI Receiving Yards (Alt)
Saquon Barkley PHI Rushing Yards

+ 37 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineWashington Commanders to win+198

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia Eagles spread-5.5 -105
71%cover %

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCommanders @ EaglesOver 44.5 -105
62%over %

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles — what the model found

Our model graded 57 betting markets for Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles — 20 on the game itself and 37 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
37
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 57 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 56 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles — recent results

Philadelphia Eagles have won 0 of their last 5 games; Washington Commanders have won 2 of their last 4.

Philadelphia Eagles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–30CINHome
L21–24NEAway
L7–24BALAway
L19–23SFHome
L17–24WSHHome
Washington Commanders — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–41BALAway
L13–17DETAway
W20–7MIAHome
W24–17PHIAway

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Philadelphia Eagles won 0, Washington Commanders won 1.

DatePhiladelphia EaglesWashington CommandersWinner
Jan 41724Washington Commanders

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Eagles
PlayerStatus
Jonathan Greenard LBQUESTIONABLE
Eli Stowers TEQUESTIONABLE
Andre' Sam SOUT
Jakorian Bennett CBOUT
Grant Calcaterra TEOUT
Johnny Wilson WROUT
Washington Commanders
PlayerStatus
K'Lavon Chaisson LBQUESTIONABLE
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RBQUESTIONABLE
Odafe Oweh LBQUESTIONABLE
Jer'Zhan Newton DTOUT
Laremy Tunsil OTOUT
Deatrich Wise Jr. DEOUT
Trey Amos CBOUT
Jeremy McNichols RBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles — where the money went

Since betting opened on Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, the market has moved away from Over across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Over 44.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 44.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 45.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 45.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Philadelphia Eagles -4▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Washington Commanders 4▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Washington Commanders▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 47.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Commanders vs Eagles, or as Eagles vs Commanders. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026 at Philadelphia. The model has generated 20 game picks and 37 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Philadelphia Eagles 14–9 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 50.0 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Jan 2026Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles17–24Washington Commanders
20 Dec 2025Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders18–29Philadelphia Eagles
26 Jan 2025Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles55–23Philadelphia Eagles
22 Dec 2024Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders36–33Washington Commanders
14 Nov 2024Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles26–18Philadelphia Eagles
29 Oct 2023Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders31–38Philadelphia Eagles
1 Oct 2023Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles34–31Philadelphia Eagles
14 Nov 2022Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles21–32Washington Commanders
25 Sep 2022Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders8–24Philadelphia Eagles
2 Jan 2022Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders16–20Philadelphia Eagles

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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