Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dallas Goedert is Over 2.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 3%, implied 1%, edge +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 2.5
+15000 (151.00) · $100→$15,100
+2.8% Edge
Washington Commanders
@
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Goedert didn't see any action during the Eagles' three-game preseason slate.
updated Sep 3, 3:22PM UTC · 6d old
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How often this wins
3 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 3.4% · the book's price implies 0.7% · gap +2.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 151.00 | +2.8% |
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Dallas Goedert (PHI) Over 2.5 Player tds over (+15000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Philadelphia Eagles play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Goedert (PHI) Over 2.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Dallas Goedert's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Total Touchdowns 2.5
Dallas Goedert's total touchdowns line is 2.5.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Dallas Goedert's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Receiving Yards 34.5
-114 best over price · 8 books
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards line is 34.5, best over price -114 across 8 books.
Receiving Yards 33.5
-114 best over price · 8 books
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards line is 33.5, best over price -114 across 8 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Receptions 3.5
-105 best over price · 12 books
Dallas Goedert's receptions line is 3.5, best over price -105 across 12 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Washington CommandersU 35.5 -114 35.5posted line · receiving yds
Dallas Goedert has a live NFL receiving yards market for Washington Commanders: under 35.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
48%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4
Dallas Goedert's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 48%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–3.5tips tracked2
Dallas Goedert's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Dallas Goedert (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dallas Goedert is Over 2.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 13 September at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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