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Model picks & player props
Houston Texans
VS
Los Angeles Chargers

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Los Angeles
Sat 27 Dec 2025, 9:30PM
8
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 Spread -115

The model graded 8 markets for Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Dec 2025, 9:30PM at Los Angeles.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.3%
The price says53.5%
Best price-115
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 High72% chance -115
Moneyline High69% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers last met on Sat 27 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Our call on this game: 2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Chargers
-1.5
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles ChargersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles ChargersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Texans

  • Kayden McDonald DTQuestionable
  • Jayden Higgins WROut
  • Tank Dell WROut
  • Sam Hagen GOut
  • Braden Smith OTOut
  • Solomon Byrd DEOut
  • Ali Gaye DEOut
  • M.J. Stewart SOut
  • E.J. Speed LBOut
  • Ja'Marcus Ingram CBOut

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Tuli Tuipulotu LBQuestionable
  • Brenen Thompson WRQuestionable
  • Deane Leonard CBQuestionable
  • RJ Mickens SQuestionable
  • Keaton Mitchell RBQuestionable
  • Isaiah World OTOut
  • Denzel Perryman LBOut
  • Scott Matlock FBOut
  • Branson Taylor GOut
  • Tyler Biadasz COut
Availability updated Sep 10, 12:48AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles Chargers to winNo line posted

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLos Angeles Chargers spreadNo line posted

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsTexans @ ChargersNo line posted

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — 8 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers — recent results

Los Angeles Chargers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Houston Texans have won 1 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Chargers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L18–20LARHome
L17–41SFHome
W27–7HOUAway
L3–16NEAway
L3–19DENAway
Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–16CARAway
L20–22LVHome
L7–27LACHome
L16–28NEAway
W30–6PITAway

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Los Angeles Chargers won 1, Houston Texans won 0.

DateLos Angeles ChargersHouston TexansWinner
Aug 14277Los Angeles Chargers

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Chargers
PlayerStatus
Tuli Tuipulotu LBQUESTIONABLE
Brenen Thompson WRQUESTIONABLE
Deane Leonard CBQUESTIONABLE
RJ Mickens SQUESTIONABLE
Keaton Mitchell RBQUESTIONABLE
Isaiah World OTOUT
Denzel Perryman LBOUT
Scott Matlock FBOUT
Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
Kayden McDonald DTQUESTIONABLE
Jayden Higgins WROUT
Tank Dell WROUT
Sam Hagen GOUT
Braden Smith OTOUT
Solomon Byrd DEOUT
Ali Gaye DEOUT
M.J. Stewart SOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Texans vs Chargers, or as Chargers vs Texans. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 December 2025 at Los Angeles. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
Houston Texans 4–3 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 46.1 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Aug 2026Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans7–27Los Angeles Chargers
27 Dec 2025Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers16–20Houston Texans
11 Jan 2025Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans32–12Houston Texans
2 Oct 2022Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans24–34Los Angeles Chargers
26 Dec 2021Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans41–29Houston Texans
22 Sep 2019Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers20–27Houston Texans
27 Nov 2016Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans13–21Los Angeles Chargers
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