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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Angels
VS
Miami Marlins

Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:47AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
55.3%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Angels 7 Spread +105

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 55.3% across 47 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 5:40PM at loanDepot Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win86.3%
The price says48.8%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Los Angeles Angels 7 High86% chance +105
Spread Lean52% chance
Moneyline High79% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High66% chance
Spread Lean47% chance
Spread Long-shot18% chance
Total Runs High62% chance
Spread Lean50% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 94%
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 88%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 82%
Pitcher - Walks × 3 props Highup to 87%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Angels and Miami Marlins last met on Sun 9 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 8.5 · $100 returned $590

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Angels
-4
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles AngelsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles AngelsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles AngelsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles AngelsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Angels

  • Sam Bachman RPOut
  • Nolan Schanuel 1BOut
  • George Klassen SPOut
  • Gustavo Campero OFOut
  • Yoan Moncada 3BOut
  • Jack Kochanowicz SPOut
  • Robert Stephenson RPOut
  • Anthony Rendon 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Johnson SP

Miami Marlins

  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Xavier Edwards 2BOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut

Probable pitcher

Janson Junk SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 10:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Vaughn Grissom Batter - Singles
Otto Lopez MIA Batter - Hits
Mike Trout LAA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kyle Stowers Batter - Hits
Ryan Gusto MIA Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami MarlinsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L54-1Free board15-14

Miami Marlins moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineMiami Marlins run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L54-1

Miami Marlins spread form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles AngelsNo line posted

Miami Marlins total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMiami Marlins team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L54-1

Miami Marlins team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 1 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Angels have won 3 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L14–15NYMHome
L5–7NYMHome
L4–9NYMHome
W10–3CHCHome
L5–6CHCHome
Los Angeles Angels — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4BOSAway
W6–1BOSAway
L2–5BOSAway
L0–1PITAway
W6–1PITAway

Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Miami Marlins are scoring 1.4 runs per game (1-4) while Los Angeles Angels are at 1.0 (2-3); Miami Marlins pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Los Angeles Angels.

1.4
Miami Marlins runs/G
1.0
Los Angeles Angels runs/G
Last 5 gamesMiami MarlinsLos Angeles Angels
Runs / game1.41.0
Hits / game1.42.8
Home runs / game0.00.2
Walks drawn / game0.40.8
Batter K / game1.42.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.01.4
Pitching K / game1.02.4
Walks allowed / game0.41.4
L5 record1-42-3

Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Miami Marlins won 2, Los Angeles Angels won 1.

DateMiami MarlinsLos Angeles AngelsWinner
Aug 9123Miami Marlins
Aug 870Miami Marlins
Aug 734Los Angeles Angels

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Xavier Edwards 2BOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT
Los Angeles Angels
PlayerStatus
Sam Bachman RPOUT
Nolan Schanuel 1BOUT
George Klassen SPOUT
Gustavo Campero OFOUT
Yoan Moncada 3BOUT
Jack Kochanowicz SPOUT
Robert Stephenson RPOUT
Anthony Rendon 3BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Our Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Wade Meckler Under 0.5 RBIs (-455), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
47
Total Picks
55.3%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Spread Miami Marlins -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Miami Marlins -2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Moneyline Miami Marlins ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Los Angeles Angels +7 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Angels -0.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread Miami Marlins -2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Miami Marlins +2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Miami Marlins -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Miami Marlins +1 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Miami Marlins 1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Angels vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Angels. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 55.3% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Miami Marlins 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins12–3Miami Marlins
8 Aug 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins7–0Miami Marlins
7 Aug 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins3–4Los Angeles Angels
25 May 2025Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Angels0–3Miami Marlins
24 May 2025Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Angels2–6Miami Marlins
23 May 2025Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Angels7–4Los Angeles Angels
3 Apr 2024Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins2–10Los Angeles Angels
2 Apr 2024Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins1–3Los Angeles Angels
1 Apr 2024Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins4–7Los Angeles Angels
28 May 2023Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Angels0–2Miami Marlins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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