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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Gusto is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:37AM UTC
MLB

Ryan Gusto

MLB

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Mon 31 Aug, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
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For the numbers: the book's price implies 61.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs——61.3%1.74—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Washington Nationals play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-159). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -128 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ryan Gusto is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Gusto is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals on Monday 31 August at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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