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The latest Bet Better model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 42%, implied 33%, edge +8.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 3.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:37AM UTC
MLB

Otto Lopez

MIA

+8.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +199 (2.99) · $100→$299
+8.0% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 41.5% · the book's price implies 33.4% · gap +8.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits41.5%41.6%33.4%3.45+8.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+199)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Otto Lopez has been pretty consistent this season, but he has struggled in day games after playing the night before. In fact, he averages 0.6 strikeouts in these situations, which hints that he might not get many hits. The Marlins have been scoring a bit lower than usual lately, coming out 0.4 runs behind over their last 12 games, so the whole lineup is facing some tough times. The Mets are also not hitting at their best against left-handed pitchers, with a batting average pretty close to what the league averages against them. Lopez's chances of getting a hit today look slim, especially with the risk of him striking out more than usual. With odds at +199, it's worth considering taking the under on his hits.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Otto Lopez is averaging 0.7 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.3 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.7
Hits
0.0
HR
0.3
RBI
0.3
Runs
0.7
Walks
0.7
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Otto Lopez has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Otto Lopez is averaging 0.7 hits per game over his last 5.

0.7
Hits · Overall
0.0
HR · Overall
Quick answers:How many home runs does Otto Lopez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -476 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -769 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Otto Lopez (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Wednesday 9 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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