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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Chicago White Sox

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:36PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Tue 17 Jun 2025, 11:40PM
0
Game markets graded
17
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 9
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andre Pallante SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Tommy Pham LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Davis Martin SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:39PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Matthew Liberatore STL Pitcher - Walks
Erick Fedde STL Pitcher - Strikeouts
Matthew Liberatore STL Pitcher - Earned Runs
Nolan Gorman STL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Lars Nootbaar STL Batter - Hits

+ 17 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 17 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago White Sox — 0 on the game itself and 17 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 17 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 16 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
L3–9PITHome
W10–1MINHome
L4–6MINHome
W4–1MINHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Tommy Pham LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals. Includes analysis on key players like Victor Scott II. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Victor Scott II for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his past performance. Looking at his last five games, both overall and away, Scott II has averaged only 0.2 stolen bases per game. This indicates a low probability of him stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Chicago White Sox. Furthermore, his current hit streak is only at 1, both overall and away, which does not suggest a significant likelihood of him getting on base, a prerequisite for a stolen base. Additionally, he has not been caught stealing in his last five games, suggesting he may not be taking many risks in attempting steals. These factors combined make the under 0.5 stolen bases a statistically sound bet.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Sox, or as Sox vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 17 June 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 17 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 5–3 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 8.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox4–5St. Louis Cardinals
17 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox2–12St. Louis Cardinals
5 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals1–5Chicago White Sox
4 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Chicago White Sox
3 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals3–0St. Louis Cardinals
9 Jul 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox3–4St. Louis Cardinals
8 Jul 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox0–3St. Louis Cardinals
7 Jul 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox8–7Chicago White Sox
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