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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
Atlanta Braves

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Truist Park, Atlanta
Outdoor
Sun 1 Jun 2025, 5:35PM
0
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Willson Contreras 1BOut
  • Adley Rutschman CDay-to-day
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Ceddanne Rafaela CFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jake Bennett SP

Atlanta Braves

  • Robert Suarez RPOut
  • Bryce Elder SPOut
  • Joe Jimenez RPOut
  • Spencer Strider SPOut
  • Spencer Schwellenbach SPOut
  • Joey Wentz RPOut

Probable pitcher

Reynaldo Lopez SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Garrett Crochet BOS Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Garrett Crochet BOS Pitcher - Walks
Bryce Elder ATL Pitcher - Strikeouts
Bryce Elder ATL Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineAtlanta BravesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.6Home L50-5vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Atlanta Braves moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineAtlanta Braves run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.6Home L50-5vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Atlanta Braves spread form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

Atlanta Braves total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsAtlanta Braves team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.6Home L50-5vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Atlanta Braves team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.6 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves — 0 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves — recent results

Atlanta Braves have won 1 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5.

Atlanta Braves — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7TBHome
L1–7TBHome
L0–1PHIAway
W5–4PHIAway
L2–4PHIAway
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6LAAHome
L1–6LAAHome
W5–2LAAHome
W3–1BALAway
W5–0BALAway

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Atlanta Braves won 7, Boston Red Sox won 3.

DateAtlanta BravesBoston Red SoxWinner
May 28102Atlanta Braves
May 2708Boston Red Sox
May 2676Atlanta Braves
May 1781Atlanta Braves
May 1623Boston Red Sox
May 1532Atlanta Braves
Mar 2161Atlanta Braves
Mar 1734Boston Red Sox
Mar 14101Atlanta Braves
Feb 27158Atlanta Braves

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Atlanta Braves
PlayerStatus
Robert Suarez RPOUT
Bryce Elder SPOUT
Joe Jimenez RPOUT
Spencer Strider SPOUT
Spencer Schwellenbach SPOUT
Joey Wentz RPOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Willson Contreras 1BOUT
Adley Rutschman CDAY-TO-DAY
Tanner Houck SPOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Kutter Crawford SPOUT
Johan Oviedo SPOUT
Ceddanne Rafaela CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Garrett Crochet's recent performance data suggests that the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet is a promising choice. Over his last five games, Crochet has averaged 3.8 hits allowed overall, and 3 hits allowed both away and against the Braves specifically. These averages exceed the line of 2.5, indicating a trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits per game. His innings pitched averages also suggest he's likely to be on the mound for a substantial amount of time, increasing the probability of allowing more hits. While his current away hit streak is zero, his overall current hit streak is one, suggesting he's likely to allow hits in the upcoming game. Given these patterns, betting on Garrett Crochet to allow over 2.5 hits seems statistically sound.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Braves, or as Braves vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 1 June 2025 at Truist Park. The model has generated 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 37 meetings on record
Atlanta Braves 20–15 across the last 37 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
28 May 2026Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox2–10Atlanta Braves
27 May 2026Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox8–0Boston Red Sox
26 May 2026Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox6–7Atlanta Braves
17 May 2026Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves8–1Atlanta Braves
16 May 2026Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves2–3Boston Red Sox
15 May 2026Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves3–2Atlanta Braves
21 Mar 2026Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox1–6Atlanta Braves
17 Mar 2026Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox4–3Boston Red Sox
14 Mar 2026Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves10–1Atlanta Braves
27 Feb 2026Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves15–8Atlanta Braves

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 37 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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