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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:21PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Fri 20 Jun 2025, 11:05PM
0
Game markets graded
16
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Taylor Walls SSOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Garrett Cleavinger RPOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Nick Martinez SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 4:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jack Flaherty DET Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Ryan Pepiot TBR Pitcher - Earned Runs
Shane Baz TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Zack Littell TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Gleyber Torres DET Batter - Hits

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays — 0 on the game itself and 16 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2ATLAway
W7–1ATLAway
L6–8TEXAway
W7–6TEXAway
W6–3TEXAway
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2MINHome
L2–3MINHome
W5–4MINHome
L2–3CLEAway
W6–0CLEAway

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 2, Detroit Tigers won 5.

DateTampa Bay RaysDetroit TigersWinner
Aug 2630Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 2514Detroit Tigers
Aug 2441Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 327Detroit Tigers
Jun 208Detroit Tigers
Jun 1910Detroit Tigers
Mar 944Draw
Feb 28312Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Taylor Walls SSOUT
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Garrett Cleavinger RPOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Bailey Horn RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Deep dive into Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Gleyber Torres. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers stats and odds.

Gleyber Torres (DET) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Gleyber Torres' recent performance makes the Over 0.5 bet a strong choice. His last five games show an average of 1.2 hits per game overall and 1 hit per game while playing away. Despite having a current hit streak of 0, his average hits are still above the Over 0.5 line. Furthermore, when considering his plate appearance averages, Torres has 4.8 overall and 4.2 when playing away, indicating he's getting ample opportunities to hit. His hit average against the Tampa Bay Rays is also 0.8, further supporting the likelihood of him hitting in the upcoming game. Overall, the data suggests that Torres has a high chance of hitting in this game, making the Over 0.5 bet a good choice.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Rays, or as Rays vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Friday 20 June 2025 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 16 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 17–13 across the last 34 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers0–3Tampa Bay Rays
25 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers4–1Detroit Tigers
24 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers1–4Tampa Bay Rays
3 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays2–7Detroit Tigers
2 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays0–8Detroit Tigers
1 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays9–10Detroit Tigers
9 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers4–4Draw
28 Feb 2026Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays3–12Detroit Tigers
9 Jul 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers3–7Tampa Bay Rays
8 Jul 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers4–2Detroit Tigers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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