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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
65.9%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings +114

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $214 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 65.9% across 41 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:40PM at Comerica Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.4%
The price says47.6%
Best price+114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 Lean46% chance +114
Spread Long-shot35% chance
Spread Long-shot21% chance
Total Runs Long-shot39% chance
Total Runs Long-shot36% chance
Total Runs Long-shot23% chance
Total Runs Long-shot22% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High89% chance
Spread Lean47% chance
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 87%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 79%
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 71%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 85%
Batter - Walks × 13 props Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers last met on Sun 16 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Chicago White Sox -3 · $100 returned $483

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Tommy Pham LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Davis Martin SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Keider Montero SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Zach McKinstry DET Batter - Singles
Sean Burke Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Braden Montgomery Batter - Hits
Drew Anderson DET Pitcher - Earned Runs
Munetaka Murakami Batter - Hits

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2MINHome
L2–3MINHome
W5–4MINHome
L2–3CLEAway
W6–0CLEAway
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
L3–9PITHome
W10–1MINHome
L4–6MINHome
W4–1MINHome

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 3, Chicago White Sox won 6.

DateDetroit TigersChicago White SoxWinner
Aug 1657Chicago White Sox
Aug 1534Chicago White Sox
Aug 1459Chicago White Sox
Jun 2154Detroit Tigers
Jun 2041Detroit Tigers
Jun 1943Detroit Tigers
May 3112Chicago White Sox
May 3017Chicago White Sox
May 2934Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Bailey Horn RPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Tommy Pham LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Our Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers prediction for August 17, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 17, 2026 our model has run Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Kevin McGonigle (DET) Under 0.5 RBIs (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
41
Total Picks
65.9%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -3 ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago White Sox 1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 11 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 8.5 ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -3.5 ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox +2 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 10.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 65.9% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 48 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 29–19 across the last 48 meetings · these games average 8.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–7Chicago White Sox
15 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers3–4Chicago White Sox
14 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–9Chicago White Sox
21 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–4Detroit Tigers
20 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–1Detroit Tigers
19 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–3Detroit Tigers
31 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
30 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox7–1Chicago White Sox
29 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox4–3Chicago White Sox
7 Sep 2025Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–6Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 48 meetings on file.

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