Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Burke is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 63%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+0.5% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Tue 8 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Pitcher - Earned Runs
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 63.0% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +0.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 63.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | 1.70 | +0.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Sean Burke (CHW) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-167)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Chicago White Sox play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sean Burke (CHW) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-167). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Sean Burke (CHW) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Burke is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox on Tuesday 8 September at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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