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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Twins
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
62.1%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 5.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings +180

The model graded 70 markets for Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $280 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 62.1% across 58 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at American Family Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.9%
The price says35.7%
Best price+180
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 5.5 High64% chance +180
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High74% chance
Total Runs High60% chance
Spread Long-shot30% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean42% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High82% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High70% chance
Spread Long-shot33% chance
Total Runs Long-shot31% chance
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 95%
Batter - Hits × 5 props Highup to 95%
Batter - Walks × 13 props Highup to 99%
Pitcher - Walks × 3 props Highup to 91%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 85%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers last met on Sun 9 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Under 5.5 · $100 returned $280

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Under
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Twins

  • Austin Martin RFOut
  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Mike Paredes SPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Zebby Matthews SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jake Bauers 1BDay-to-day
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Henderson SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jackson Chourio Batter - Singles
Josh Bell WSN Batter - Hits
Victor Caratini SDP Batter - Hits
Andrew Vaughn CHW Batter - Walks
Connor Prielipp Pitcher - Walks

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L51-4Free board14-13

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota TwinsNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
1.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Twins have won 2 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
L8–12CINAway
L3–5CINAway
Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7DETAway
W3–2DETAway
L4–5DETAway
L1–10CHWAway
W6–4CHWAway

Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 2.2 runs per game (3-2) while Minnesota Twins are at 1.2 (1-4); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Minnesota Twins.

2.2
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
1.2
Minnesota Twins runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersMinnesota Twins
Runs / game2.21.2
Hits / game3.02.2
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game1.20.8
Batter K / game2.00.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.02.2
Pitching K / game2.22.4
Walks allowed / game0.62.0
L5 record3-21-4

Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 4, Minnesota Twins won 2.

DateMilwaukee BrewersMinnesota TwinsWinner
Aug 943Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 843Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 768Minnesota Twins
May 1745Minnesota Twins
May 1621Milwaukee Brewers
May 1532Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Jake Bauers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Austin Martin RFOUT
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Mike Paredes SPOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT
Pablo Lopez SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Our Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jake Bauers (MIL) Under 3.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-385), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 5 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
58
Total Picks
62.1%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers +2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers +2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread Minnesota Twins -1.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Minnesota Twins ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Moneyline Minnesota Twins ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 11.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread Minnesota Twins +2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Minnesota Twins -2.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Twins vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Twins. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 62.1% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 13–7 across the last 20 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers4–3Milwaukee Brewers
8 Aug 2026Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers4–3Milwaukee Brewers
7 Aug 2026Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers6–8Minnesota Twins
17 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins5–4Minnesota Twins
16 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins1–2Milwaukee Brewers
15 May 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins2–3Milwaukee Brewers
22 Jun 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins8–9Milwaukee Brewers
21 Jun 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins0–9Milwaukee Brewers
20 Jun 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins6–17Milwaukee Brewers
18 May 2025Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers5–2Milwaukee Brewers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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