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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Colorado Rockies

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:49AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
77.6%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Rays -4.5 Spread +259

The model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $359 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 77.6% across 49 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.5%
The price says27.9%
Best price+259
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Rays -4.5 Long-shot40% chance +259
Spread Lean59% chance
Spread Long-shot32% chance
Spread High63% chance
Spread Long-shot25% chance
Total Runs High74% chance
Total Runs Lean58% chance
Total Runs Lean54% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 3 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Highup to 87%
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 86%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies last met on Wed 5 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays
+3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Taylor Walls SSOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Garrett Cleavinger RPOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Griffin Jax SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Freddy Peralta Pitcher - Earned Runs
Jonathan Aranda TBR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Hunter Goodman Batter - Runs Scored
Hunter Goodman Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.4runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2ATLAway
W7–1ATLAway
L6–8TEXAway
W7–6TEXAway
W6–3TEXAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 0, Tampa Bay Rays won 3.

DateColorado RockiesTampa Bay RaysWinner
Aug 579Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 504Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 4913Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Taylor Walls SSOUT
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Garrett Cleavinger RPOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies prediction for August 6, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 6, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Walks (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
49
Total Picks
77.6%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 12 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Tampa Bay Rays 1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -4.5 ✗ MISS
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 12.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays +1 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 15 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 10 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -2 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 14 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -5.5 ✗ MISS
05 Aug 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 77.6% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 10–2 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 12.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies7–9Tampa Bay Rays
4 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies9–13Tampa Bay Rays
3 Aug 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies9–13Tampa Bay Rays
30 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays6–4Tampa Bay Rays
29 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays1–2Colorado Rockies
28 Mar 2025Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays3–2Tampa Bay Rays
7 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies2–3Tampa Bay Rays
6 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies6–8Tampa Bay Rays
5 Apr 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies10–7Colorado Rockies
24 Aug 2023Colorado Rockies @ Tampa Bay Rays5–3Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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