On September 11, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 4 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Ryan McMahon (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-204), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Jared Jones (PIT) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago White Sox play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jared Jones (PIT) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+112). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Logan Gilbert (SEA) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-143)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Seattle Mariners play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Logan Gilbert (SEA) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-143). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Anthony Volpe (NYY) Under 0.5 Hits (+104)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Anthony Volpe (NYY) Under 0.5 Hits (+104). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan McMahon (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-204)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan McMahon (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-204). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ben Rice Under 1.5 Total Bases (-128)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ben Rice Under 1.5 Total Bases (-128). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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