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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Twins
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:49PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Wed 18 Jun 2025, 11:10PM
0
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 9
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Twins

  • Austin Martin RFOut
  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Mike Paredes SPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Zebby Matthews SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Rhett Lowder SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nick Lodolo CIN Pitcher - Walks
Matt McLain CIN Batter - Hits
Andrew Abbott CIN Pitcher - Walks
Elly De La Cruz CIN Batter - Stolen Bases
Nick Martinez CIN Pitcher - Strikeouts

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Minnesota Twins L53-2

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Minnesota Twins L53-2

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota TwinsNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.4runs we expect
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Minnesota Twins L53-2

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Minnesota Twins at Cincinnati Reds — 0 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Twins have won 2 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3LADAway
L3–6LADAway
W12–8MILHome
W5–3MILHome
L7–10MILHome
Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7DETAway
W3–2DETAway
L4–5DETAway
L1–10CHWAway
W6–4CHWAway

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 8.0 runs per game (2-3) while Minnesota Twins are at 2.6 (1-4); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for Minnesota Twins.

8.0
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
2.6
Minnesota Twins runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsMinnesota Twins
Runs / game8.02.6
Hits / game12.45.0
Home runs / game2.00.8
Walks drawn / game6.02.6
Batter K / game9.87.4
Earned runs allowed / game4.24.2
Pitching K / game7.47.0
Walks allowed / game3.42.4
L5 record2-31-4

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 3, Minnesota Twins won 0.

DateCincinnati RedsMinnesota TwinsWinner
Apr 1974Cincinnati Reds
Apr 1821Cincinnati Reds
Apr 1854Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Austin Martin RFOUT
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Mike Paredes SPOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT
Pablo Lopez SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Cincinnati Reds playing Minnesota Twins. Includes analysis on key players like Matt McLain. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins stats and odds.

Matt McLain (CIN) Over 0.5 Hits (-175)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Matt McLain for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a favorable choice considering his recent performance data. McLain's last five overall batting averages show that he typically hits 0.8 times per game, which is higher than the line set at 0.5. This suggests that he is more likely than not to get at least one hit in the upcoming game. Although his home hits average is slightly lower at 0.4, his overall performance suggests a strong hitting ability. Additionally, the average plate appearances (PA) per game, both overall and at home, are above 3, indicating that he gets sufficient opportunities to hit. Despite a current hit streak of zero, the overall data supports the likelihood of McLain achieving at least one hit in the game against the Minnesota Twins.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Twins vs Reds, or as Reds vs Twins. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 18 June 2025 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Apr 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins4–7Cincinnati Reds
18 Apr 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins1–2Cincinnati Reds
17 Apr 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins1–2Cincinnati Reds
19 Jun 2025Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds5–12Minnesota Twins
18 Jun 2025Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds4–2Cincinnati Reds
17 Jun 2025Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds6–5Cincinnati Reds
15 Sep 2024Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins9–2Minnesota Twins
14 Sep 2024Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins1–11Cincinnati Reds
13 Sep 2024Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins4–8Cincinnati Reds
20 Sep 2023Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds3–5Minnesota Twins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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