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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 9:08AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:10PM
20
Game markets graded
26
Props graded
56.8%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6.5 Total Runs -294

The model graded 46 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $134 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 56.8% across 44 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:10PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.3%
The price says71.3%
Best price-294
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 6.5 High73% chance -294
Total Runs Long-shot17% chance —
Total Runs Lean60% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean50% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot34% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot10% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High68% chance —
Total Runs High75% chance —
Spread High69% chance —
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 75% —
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Leanup to 47% —
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Long-shotup to 25% —
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 47% —
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Long-shotup to 38% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Over 6.5 · $100 returned $134

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
5.5
-435
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jake Bauers 1BDay-to-day
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Henderson SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Rhett Lowder SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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The preview

Written 7 Sep

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Picks, September 7, 2026

On September 7, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 RBIs (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 RBIs (-333). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brice Turang (MIL) Under 0.5 Singles (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brice Turang (MIL) Under 0.5 Singles (-145). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brice Turang (MIL) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brice Turang (MIL) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-119). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-400)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-400). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+172)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+172). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+118). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 7 Sep

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 7, 2026

On September 7, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

David Hamilton (MIL) Under 0.5 Walks (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is David Hamilton (MIL) Under 0.5 Walks (-323). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Walks (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Walks (-333). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Juan Brito Under 0.5 Walks (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Juan Brito Under 0.5 Walks (-357). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Garrett Mitchell Batter - Doubles
Elly De La Cruz Batter - Doubles
Elly De La Cruz Batter - Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez Batter - Stolen Bases
William Contreras Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 26 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.8L5 RA2.6Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.8 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.8L5 RA2.6Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 4-1, 4.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.1runs we expect
L5 RF4.8L5 RA2.6Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.8 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 46 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 26 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
26
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 46 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 45 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3LADAway
L3–6LADAway
W12–8MILHome
W5–3MILHome
L7–10MILHome
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
L8–12CINAway
L3–5CINAway

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.0 runs per game (2-3) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 1.0 (2-3); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 2.4 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Milwaukee Brewers.

3.0
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
1.0
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game3.01.0
Hits / game2.82.0
Home runs / game0.80.2
Walks drawn / game0.61.0
Batter K / game1.01.0
Earned runs allowed / game2.40.8
Pitching K / game2.01.2
Walks allowed / game1.40.6
L5 record2-32-3

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 3, Milwaukee Brewers won 7.

DateCincinnati RedsMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Sep 6128Cincinnati Reds
Sep 553Cincinnati Reds
Sep 4710Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 224Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 272Cincinnati Reds
Jun 3027Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2935Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2456Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2302Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2212Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Jake Bauers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds prediction for September 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 7, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
44
Total Picks
56.8%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -2.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 11 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers 0.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -2 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers +1 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers 2.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Reds, or as Reds vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 26 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 56.8% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 58 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 40–18 across the last 58 meetings · these games average 8.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds12–8Cincinnati Reds
5 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds5–3Cincinnati Reds
4 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds7–10Milwaukee Brewers
2 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–2Milwaukee Brewers
1 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–2Milwaukee Brewers
30 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers7–2Milwaukee Brewers
29 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers5–3Milwaukee Brewers
24 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds5–6Milwaukee Brewers
23 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds0–2Milwaukee Brewers
22 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds1–2Milwaukee Brewers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 58 meetings on file.

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