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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
Chicago White Sox

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 1:22AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 29 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
0
Game markets graded
14
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Sam Hentges RPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Tommy Pham LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Hagen Smith SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 30 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability30 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Justin Verlander SFG Pitcher - Strikeouts
Aaron Civale MIL Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Andrew Benintendi CHW Batter - Singles
Aaron Civale MIL Pitcher - Strikeouts
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Singles

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L52-3Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco GiantsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
1.6runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at Chicago White Sox — 0 on the game itself and 14 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 4 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
L3–9PITHome
W10–1MINHome
L4–6MINHome
W4–1MINHome
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1STLHome
W7–6STLHome
W5–4STLHome
L2–4NYMAway
W9–5NYMAway

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 1, San Francisco Giants won 3.

DateChicago White SoxSan Francisco GiantsWinner
May 2458San Francisco Giants
May 2394Chicago White Sox
May 23310San Francisco Giants
Mar 1333Draw
Mar 256San Francisco Giants

Who’s out or in doubt

30 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Tommy Pham LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Keaton Winn RPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants. Includes analysis on key players like Justin Verlander. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants stats and odds.

Justin Verlander (SFG) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Justin Verlander for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Verlander has consistently allowed more than 3.5 hits, with an average of 5.2 hits overall, 5.4 hits when playing away, and as high as 6.7 hits against the same opponent. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he's on the mound long enough for these hits to occur, with 4.7 IP overall, 5.4 IP away, and 6.1 IP against the same opponent. This data shows a pattern of Verlander allowing a significant number of hits per game, particularly in away games and against this opponent, making the Over 3.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Sox, or as Sox vs Giants. The most recent game between them was Sunday 29 June 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 14 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
San Francisco Giants 12–6 across the last 20 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants8–5San Francisco Giants
23 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants4–9Chicago White Sox
22 May 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants4–9Chicago White Sox
13 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants3–3Draw
12 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants3–3Draw
2 Mar 2026San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox5–6San Francisco Giants
29 Jun 2025San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox5–2Chicago White Sox
28 Jun 2025San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox1–0Chicago White Sox
27 Jun 2025San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox1–3San Francisco Giants
17 Mar 2025San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox0–3San Francisco Giants

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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