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Model picks & player props
Seattle Mariners
VS
Chicago Cubs

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 9:44PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 22 Jun 2025, 6:20PM
0
Game markets graded
10
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Gilbert SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 8:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Nico Hoerner CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Julio Rodriguez SEA Batter - Stolen Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Hits
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter - Stolen Bases

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at Chicago Cubs — 0 on the game itself and 10 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–8MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–10MIAAway
W6–5MIAAway
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–10TEXHome
W3–2TEXHome
L2–6ATHHome
W2–0ATHHome
L6–7ATHHome

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago Cubs won 3, Seattle Mariners won 2.

DateChicago CubsSeattle MarinersWinner
Aug 23192Chicago Cubs
Aug 2256Seattle Mariners
Aug 2245Seattle Mariners
Mar 2271Chicago Cubs
Mar 1274Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Brennen Davis CFOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Emerson Hancock SPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners. Includes analysis on key players like Pete Crow-Armstrong. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners stats and odds.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 1.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet for Pete Crow-Armstrong's hits is backed by his recent batting performance. His last five overall hits average is 1.4, which is already under the line set for this bet. When playing at home, his hit average drops further to 1.2. This is consistent with his plate appearance averages, which are 4.2 both overall and at home, suggesting he's not getting more opportunities at home to increase his hit count. Additionally, his current overall hit streak is at zero, indicating a recent struggle to make hits. Despite a small home hit streak of two, the overall statistics suggest a lower probability of him exceeding 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Sunday 22 June 2025 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 13–6 across the last 20 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 11.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners2–19Chicago Cubs
22 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners6–5Seattle Mariners
21 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners6–5Seattle Mariners
22 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners1–7Chicago Cubs
21 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners1–7Chicago Cubs
12 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs7–4Chicago Cubs
22 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs6–14Seattle Mariners
21 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs10–7Chicago Cubs
20 Jun 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs4–9Seattle Mariners
8 Mar 2025Seattle Mariners @ Chicago Cubs9–8Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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