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Model picks & player props
Las Vegas Aces
VS
Seattle Storm

Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 6:47AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Indoor
Fri 18 Sep 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
27
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 182.5 Alt Total Points -278

The model graded 47 markets for Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $136 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 18 Sep 2026, 2:00AM at Climate Pledge Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win90.2%
The price says70.2%
Best price-278
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 182.5 High90% chance -278
Alt Spread Lean58% chance
Alt Spread High61% chance
Alt Spread Lean59% chance
Alt Spread High68% chance
Alt Spread High71% chance
Alt Spread High69% chance
Alt Spread High78% chance
Alt Spread High80% chance
Rebounds × 4 props Highup to 71%
Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 73%
Assists × 3 props Highup to 68%
Pts+Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 64%
Pts+Ast × 3 props Highup to 67%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
How they've been scoring this season
Las Vegas AcesSeattle Storm
Won-lost27-138-31
Points scored per game91.182.9
Points allowed per game86.488.1
On the road / at home14-7 away6-13 at home
Last 5 gamesLLWWWLLLWL
Their games average 174.3 total points this season.
From the 40 Las Vegas Aces and 39 Seattle Storm games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,718 of 2,295 right (wnba totals unders)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
182.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 27 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,781+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Las Vegas Aces on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Las Vegas Aces
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Aces

  • Ta'Niya Latson GOut
  • NaLyssa Smith FOut

Seattle Storm

  • Jade Melbourne GDay-to-day
  • Ezi Magbegor FOut
  • Awa Fam COut
  • Natisha Hiedeman GOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 10:13PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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The preview

Written 11 Sep

Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks (Jackie Young Key Factor): Stat-Based Insights

On Friday 18 September 2026, Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +7.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Seattle Storm +7.5 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces have been on a roll, but the Seattle Storm are tough to beat at home, especially with the Aces traveling quite a bit further for this game. The Storm's scoring and rebounding have shown improvement, making it likely they can keep this match closer than the 7.5 points. Our numbers think they have a good chance to cover this spread, especially since the expected final margin is only about four points. The biggest risk is that the Aces are still a strong team, and they could pull away if the Storm don't keep up their recent form. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 182.5 Total Points (-278)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

At Climate Pledge Arena, the Seattle Storm are taking on the Las Vegas Aces. Our numbers suggest a low-scoring game, predicting a combined total of around 156.9 points, which is well below the line of 182.5 points. The Storm have struggled lately, showing a significant negative scoring difference, while the Aces are also not known for high-scoring games. With both teams not in great scoring form and the Aces traveling quite a distance, this could be a tight match with fewer points than expected. Just remember, both teams could surprise us. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jackie Young Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. It is on at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 35.5 Points and Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is A'ja Wilson Under 35.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. It is on at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Under 6.5 Assists (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Under 6.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. It is on at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jackie Young LV Rebounds
Chelsea Gray LV Rebounds
Jackie Young LV Reb+Ast
Chelsea Gray LV Reb+Ast
Chelsea Gray LV Assists

+ 27 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm — what the model found

Our model graded 47 betting markets for Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm — 20 on the game itself and 27 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
27
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 47 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 46 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm — recent results

Seattle Storm have won 1 of their last 5 games; Las Vegas Aces have won 3 of their last 5.

Seattle Storm — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L74–90LAHome
W90–78TORHome
L70–92DALAway
L80–82CHIHome
L82–84PORHome
Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W93–73TORHome
W88–78TORAway
W101–78CONHome
L82–97ATLHome
L87–92MINHome

Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Seattle Storm won 0, Las Vegas Aces won 1.

DateSeattle StormLas Vegas AcesWinner
Jun 991101Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Storm
PlayerStatus
Jade Melbourne GDAY-TO-DAY
Ezi Magbegor FOUT
Awa Fam COUT
Natisha Hiedeman GOUT
Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
Ta'Niya Latson GOUT
NaLyssa Smith FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm — where the money went

Since betting opened on Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, the market has moved away from Las Vegas Aces across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Las Vegas Aces -8.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Seattle Storm 8.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Seattle Storm▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Las Vegas Aces▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm — model preview

Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces, 18 September 2026. Top of the list: Seattle Storm +7.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 18 September 2026, Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +7.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Seattle Storm +7.5 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces have been on a roll, but the Seattle Storm are tough to beat at home, especially with the Aces traveling quite a bit further for this game. The Storm's scoring and rebounding have shown improvement, making it likely they can keep this match closer than the 7.5 points. Our numbers think they have a good chance to cover this spread, especially since the expected final margin is only about four points. The biggest risk is that the Aces are still a strong team, and they could pull away if the Storm don't keep up their recent form. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Aces vs Storm, or as Storm vs Aces. The next scheduled game is Friday 18 September 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 27 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Las Vegas Aces 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Jun 2026Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces101–91Las Vegas Aces
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