Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chelsea Gray is Under 12.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 64%, implied 51%, edge +12.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Points
Under 12.5
-103 (1.97) · $100→$197
+12.8% Edge
Toronto Tempo
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
64 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 63.6% · the book's price implies 50.8% · gap +12.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 63.6% | — | 50.8% | 2.09 | +12.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/5 |
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Chelsea Gray Under 12.5 Points (-103)
Odds available at betonlineag at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Saturday 29 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Under 12.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects Chelsea Gray to finish with about 11.3 points. The line for this one is 12.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (31 picks)
64.5%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Chelsea Gray is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 64.5% on tracked Chelsea Gray picks. The latest model pick for Chelsea Gray is Under 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces on Saturday 29 August at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.