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Model picks & player props
New York Liberty
VS
Minnesota Lynx

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 6:45AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Target Center, Minnesota
Indoor
Fri 18 Sep 2026, 11:30PM
20
Game markets graded
31
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 187.5 Alt Total Points -263

The model graded 51 markets for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $138 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 18 Sep 2026, 11:30PM at Target Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win89.2%
The price says69.2%
Best price-263
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 187.5 High89% chance -263
Alt Total Points High89% chance
Alt Total Points High90% chance
Alt Total Points High90% chance
Alt Total Points High93% chance
Alt Total Points High93% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Spread Lean58% chance
Pts+Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 72%
Pts+Reb × 4 props Highup to 73%
Pts+Ast × 6 props Highup to 74%
Points × 3 props Highup to 71%
Reb+Ast × 3 props Highup to 70%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
How they've been scoring this season
New York LibertyMinnesota Lynx
Won-lost24-1631-9
Points scored per game89.591.3
Points allowed per game87.183.4
On the road / at home10-10 away14-6 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWLWWWWLL
Their games average 175.7 total points this season.
From the 40 New York Liberty and 40 Minnesota Lynx games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,718 of 2,295 right (wnba totals unders)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
187.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Liberty

  • Satou Sabally FOut

Minnesota Lynx

  • Dorka Juhasz FOut
  • Elena Buenavida GOut
  • Antonia Delaere FOut
Availability updated Sep 11, 2:01AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 11 Sep

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Jonquel Jones Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +6 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +6 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The New York Liberty are facing off against the Minnesota Lynx, and this game looks really close. The Liberty have been playing well, and while the Lynx have a slight advantage in their recent games, it's not a big gap. Our numbers suggest this matchup is nearly even, and with the Liberty getting 6 points, it feels like a good chance for them to keep it close or even win. The main risk is that the Lynx are at home, where they usually play better. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 187.5 Total Points (-263)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Both the Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty have been playing solid defense lately, which makes me think they might struggle to score big in this game. We're betting on the total points being under 187.5 because our numbers suggest a combined total around 162.9. Plus, the Liberty have a bit of travel fatigue, which can affect their performance. The close win percentages hint that this could be a tight game, but with both teams focusing on defense, I really like the under on points here. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Saturday 19 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. It is on at Target Center in Minnesota. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Saturday 19 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Assists. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. It is on at Target Center in Minnesota. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Saturday 19 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. It is on at Target Center in Minnesota. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Breanna Stewart NY Pts+Reb+Ast
Breanna Stewart NY Pts+Reb
Napheesa Collier MIN Pts+Reb
Napheesa Collier MIN Pts+Ast
Napheesa Collier MIN Points

+ 31 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx — what the model found

Our model graded 51 betting markets for New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx — 20 on the game itself and 31 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
31
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 51 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 50 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx — recent results

Minnesota Lynx have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Liberty have won 3 of their last 5.

Minnesota Lynx — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L81–89ATLAway
L66–80GSHome
W94–84WSHAway
W77–66GSAway
W92–87LVAway
New York Liberty — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W85–66CHIHome
L60–79GSHome
W109–102INDHome
L86–93CHIAway
W82–75CONAway

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Minnesota Lynx won 1, New York Liberty won 1.

DateMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyWinner
Jul 119085Minnesota Lynx
Jul 38699New York Liberty

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Lynx
PlayerStatus
Dorka Juhasz FOUT
Elena Buenavida GOUT
Antonia Delaere FOUT
New York Liberty
PlayerStatus
Satou Sabally FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx — model preview

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty, 18 September 2026. Top of the list: New York Liberty +6 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +6 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +6 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The New York Liberty are facing off against the Minnesota Lynx, and this game looks really close. The Liberty have been playing well, and while the Lynx have a slight advantage in their recent games, it's not a big gap. Our numbers suggest this matchup is nearly even, and with the Liberty getting 6 points, it feels like a good chance for them to keep it close or even win. The main risk is that the Lynx are at home, where they usually play better. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Liberty vs Lynx, or as Lynx vs Liberty. The next scheduled game is Friday 18 September 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 31 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Jul 2026New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx90–85Minnesota Lynx
3 Jul 2026Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty99–86New York Liberty
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