On Sunday 16 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +20.5 on the Line, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
When the Connecticut Sun face off against the New York Liberty at Mohegan Sun Arena, expect a fierce battle. The Sun thrive on their home court, translating that energy into a fast-paced game that often catches opponents off guard. Connecticut's depth and defensive tenacity can stifle New York's offensive rhythm. While our model suggests a narrow finish, it's crucial to consider the Sun's ability to elevate their game in front of their fans. They have a knack for turning defensive stops into explosive scoring runs, making a 20.5-point cushion more than feasible. The Liberty may struggle to keep pace, especially if the Sun's stars hit their stride early. Betting on Connecticut to cover that alternate spread feels right; they possess the defensive chops to put the clamps on New York while capitalizing on every opportunity. This matchup screams for a decisive home victory that could swing the margin comfortably in the Sun's favor. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 185.5 Total Points (-455)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the New York Liberty at the Mohegan Sun Arena, the stage is set for a tactical showdown rather than a scoring frenzy. Both teams excel defensively, with the Sun ranking among the league's top units in limiting opponents' shooting percentages. Connecticut's disciplined approach, combined with New York's recent struggles to find their offensive rhythm, suggests that points may be at a premium. The pace of play is likely to be methodical, as both squads will prioritize smart possessions over fast breaks. With our model projecting a combined total closer to 166.5, taking the Under 185.5 feels like a savvy move. Given the potential for a defensive battle and the stakes at hand, expect a game where every point counts, leading to a lower-scoring affair that could surprise some casual fans. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Brittney Griner Over 18.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-175)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brittney Griner Over 18.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 Assists (+118)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 15.5 Points (-189)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 16 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Over 15.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.