Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings Picks & Predictions

On Monday 31 August 2026, Dallas Wings play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +15 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +15 on the Line (-110)

For this game, Connecticut Sun needs to win by at least 15 points against the Dallas Wings. The Sun have not been on the best run lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, but they have a good chance here. The Wings allow opponents to take a lot of three-pointers and don't grab as many rebounds compared to the league average, which could help the Sun capitalize on scoring opportunities. One thing to watch out for is that the Wings have won 5 of their last 10, showing they can compete. However, the Sun's strong ability to limit rebounds could be key in this matchup, especially since they also allow fewer three-point attempts than the Wings. If the Sun can control the game and keep the pressure on, they can cover the spread. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 165 Total Points (-110)

The Dallas Wings have shown some good form lately, winning 5 of their last 10 games. They have a strong offense that can score, and they let opponents shoot a fair number of three-pointers. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. However, their scoring can be unpredictable, which adds some excitement. Betting on the total points to go over 165 seems reasonable here. With both teams allowing plenty of shots from beyond the arc and decent scoring capabilities, we could see a lot of points. The biggest risk is that both teams can have off nights, especially with the Wings having home advantage but not being fully consistent. Still, the numbers suggest a combined total around 168, so it could be a high-scoring game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alanna Smith Under 8.5 Points (-110)

The odds for Alanna Smith to score under 8.5 points look solid, especially with how both teams have been playing lately. The Dallas Wings have won five of their last ten games, but they still let their opponents attempt a lot of shots from three-point range. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun have only won three of their last ten, so their scoring has been a bit shaky too. Smith won't have an easy time, as the Wings' defense can limit rebounds and scoring opportunities. They give up about 33.6 rebounds a game, which means fewer second-chance points for Smith. The most concrete risk here is that Smith could catch fire and score more than expected on a good shooting night. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Aaliyah Edwards Over 5.5 Rebounds (-109)

Aaliyah Edwards has been playing more minutes lately, hitting a middle mark of 23 in her last ten games. The Dallas Wings allow a decent number of rebounds, giving up about 33.6 each game since 2019, which is better than the league average. This means there should be plenty of chances for Edwards to grab boards against them. While the Connecticut Sun have struggled a bit, winning only 3 of their last 10, Edwards has shown she can put up some solid numbers when she gets the time on the court. The biggest risk is how unpredictable her performance can be, with rebounds ranging from 0 to 2 in recent games. Still, with the right opportunities, she could easily go over 5.5 rebounds today. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Under 9.5 Points (-109)

The Dallas Wings and Connecticut Sun both have players who can score, but Awak Kuier might struggle to hit over 9.5 points. The Wings tend to give up some three-point attempts, but Kuier's recent performance shows she hasn't been hitting as frequently, even with her team's scoring dynamics. Plus, the Sun have been inconsistent, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. One concrete risk here is that Kuier could step up and surprise everyone with a strong game. However, given that both teams focus on other players to score, it's a decent bet that she'll stay under that points mark. With a good chance for this pick, let's see how it plays out! It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.