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Model picks & player props
Collingwood Magpies
VS
Western Bulldogs

Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:10AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
MCG, Melbourne
Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug 2026, 9:40AM
16
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Collingwood Magpies 2.5 Spread -109

The model graded 66 markets for Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $192 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 28 Aug 2026, 9:40AM at MCG.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.9%
The price says52.1%
Best price-109
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Collingwood Magpies 2.5 Lean51% chance -109
Team Total Points H1 Lean52% chance
Team Total Points H1 Lean50% chance
Moneyline Lean44% chance
Team Total Points Q1 Lean48% chance
Team Total Points Q1 Lean50% chance
Spread Q3 Lean47% chance
Spread Q2 Lean47% chance
Spread Q4 Lean47% chance
Disposals × 19 props Highup to 77%
Kicks × 4 props Highup to 85%
Marks × 19 props Highup to 85%
Handballs × 2 props Highup to 77%
Fantasy × 1 prop Highup to 77%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Collingwood Magpies and Western Bulldogs last met on Fri 28 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Collingwood Magpies 0.5 · $100 returned $187

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Collingwood Magpies
+2.5
+ 15 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bulldogs

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Connor Budarick Western Bulldogs Disposals
Jeremy Howe Collingwood Kicks
Bailey Dale Western Bulldogs Marks
Beau McCreery Collingwood Disposals
Lachlan Bramble Western Bulldogs Marks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs — what the model found

Our model graded 66 betting markets for Collingwood Magpies at Western Bulldogs — 16 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 66 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 65 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs — recent results

Western Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5 games; Collingwood Magpies have won 0 of their last 0.

Western Bulldogs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L68–90ADELAway
W96–93COLLHome
W108–87MELBAway
D82–82CARLHome
L77–100NMFCHome

Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs — model preview

Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies, 28 August 2026. Top of the list: Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 89.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over.

On August 28, 2026 our model has run Collingwood Magpies at Western Bulldogs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Collingwood Magpies 2.5 Spread (-109), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Aug 26 Spread Q4 Collingwood Magpies 0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Magpies vs Bulldogs, or as Bulldogs vs Magpies. The most recent game between them was Friday 28 August 2026 at MCG. The model has generated 16 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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