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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daulton Varsho is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 40%, implied 45%, edge -5.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 8
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 7

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
MLB

Daulton Varsho

TOR

-5.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +120 (2.20) · $100→$220
-5.8% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
40 in 100
Predicted
0.6 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 39.6% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap -5.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits39.6%—45.5%2.52-5.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+120)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Daulton Varsho is sitting at +120 for under 0.5 hits, and that could be a solid bet. He hasn't been hitting well lately, with an average of just 1.8 total bases at night and only 0.9 during the day. The Phillies have a strong record against left-handed pitchers, and Varsho isn't performing as well as he should be given his opportunities. The matchup with the Phillies is tough because they've been scoring well, averaging 1.4 runs more than their opponents lately. While both teams have won six of their last ten games, Varsho's struggle against lefties and the pressure from the Phillies could make it hard for him to get a hit today. This bet carries some risk, but the odds are inviting for this pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Daulton Varsho's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
-135 best over price · 7 booksWent over in 4 of the last 8 gamesHow many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -135 across 7 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 8 games.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Daulton Varsho has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 62% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.562%
o1.512%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +128 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Daulton Varsho (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daulton Varsho is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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