Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v St George Illawarra Dragons, 28 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 47.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.
On Friday 28 August 2026, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles play St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 47.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 47.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at TAB at time of publishing
On Friday 28 August 2026, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 47.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 47.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
St George Illawarra Dragons +8.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Tabtouch at time of publishing
On Friday 28 August 2026, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is St George Illawarra Dragons 8.5 Line. On this line St George Illawarra Dragons start with 8.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. That price was showing at TABtouch. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Loko Pasifiki Tonga to Score a Try (+1300)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 28 August 2026, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Loko Pasifiki Tonga Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Loko Pasifiki Tonga scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $140 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $140 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v St George Illawarra Dragons. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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