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Model picks & player props
Sydney Roosters
VS
Penrith Panthers

Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:05AM
20
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 42.5 Alt Total Points -120

The model graded 28 markets for Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:05AM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.3%
The price says50.9%
Best price-120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 42.5 High67% chance -120
Alt Total Points High72% chance
Alt Total Points High71% chance
1st Half Total Points High62% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot24% chance
Alt Spread Lean46% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot27% chance
Alt Spread Lean45% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot24% chance
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 5%
Try Scorer First × 2 props Long-shotup to 2%
Tries Over × 3 props Long-shotup to 2%
Try Scorer Last × 2 props Long-shotup to 3%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Penrith Panthers are the model's favourite to beat Sydney Roosters, with a 67% chance to win. Predicted score: Penrith Panthers 36.6 – Sydney Roosters 20.2. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 6:05AM. Best bet: Over 42.5 at -120.
How they've been scoring this season
Sydney RoostersPenrith Panthers
Won-lost11-513-5
Points scored per game22.928.8
Points allowed per game20.114.5
On the road / at home4-3 away7-2 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLLLLLWWW
Their games average 43.1 total points this season.
From the 16 Sydney Roosters and 18 Penrith Panthers games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 10 bookmakers compared
Winner
Total points
Over42.51.93-108Casumo
Under42.51.90-111Sportsbet
Market cooling on Sydney Roosters: 3.66 → 3.75 (6 books)

Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers odds by bookmaker

10 books · best price in green
BookRoosters winPanthers winOver 42.5Under 42.5
BetOnline
Casumo1.93-1081.87-115
Grosvenor1.91-1101.85-118
PlayUp1.88-1141.88-114
PointsBet1.90-1111.90-111
Polymarket3.64+2641.38-264
Sportsbet1.90-1111.90-111
TAB1.90-1111.90-111
TABtouch1.91-1101.85-118
Unibet Nl1.93-1081.87-115

Since the market opened: Panthers to win opened 1.29, best now 1.38; the over 42.5 opened 1.89, best now 1.93 (decimal, best book).

Market cooling on Sydney Roosters: 3.66 → 3.75 (6 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NRL market — 87 of 147 right (nrl totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Over 44.5
Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $171
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
40.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over1st Half Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Penrith Panthers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Penrith Panthers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Tab
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sydney Roosters

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Penrith Panthers

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 10 Sep

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters Prediction & Picks (Lindsay Collins Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Roosters +8.5 on the Line, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sydney Roosters +8.5 on the Line (-111)

Odds available at Betr at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters 8.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters start with 8.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at betr. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 46.5 Total Points (+160)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 46.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 46.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +160 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +160 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sydney Roosters to Win the First Half (+210)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters First Half Match Winner. This one only needs Sydney Roosters to be in front at half time. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Lindsay Collins to Score a Try (+2200)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lindsay Collins Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lindsay Collins scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lindsay Collins Anytime Try
Liam Henry Try Scorer First
Siua Wong Tries Over
Reece Robson Try Scorer First
Daly Cherry-Evans Try Scorer Last

+ 8 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers — what the model found

Our model graded 28 betting markets for Sydney Roosters at Penrith Panthers — 20 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 28 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 27 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Sydney Roosters at Penrith Panthers, the market has moved away from Penrith Panthers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Penrith Panthers -10.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Sydney Roosters 10.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Penrith Panthers -9.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Sydney Roosters 9.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Sydney Roosters▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Penrith Panthers▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 42.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 42.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers — model preview

Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters, 13 September 2026. Top of the list: Sydney Roosters +8.5 on the Line. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Roosters +8.5 on the Line, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sydney Roosters +8.5 on the Line (-111)

Odds available at Betr at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters 8.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters start with 8.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at betr. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers in the NRL. You may also see this matchup written as Roosters vs Panthers, or as Panthers vs Roosters. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Sydney Roosters 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Roosters @ Panthers6–12Roosters
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