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Model picks & player props
Dolphins
VS
Sydney Roosters

Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:42AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Sat 29 Aug 2026, 7:30AM
20
Game markets graded
7
Props graded
63.2%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 37.5 Alt Total Points +310

The model graded 27 markets for Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $410 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 63.2% across 68 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 29 Aug 2026, 7:30AM.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win28.4%
The price says22.9%
Best price+310
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 37.5 Long-shot28% chance +310
Alt Spread Long-shot36% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot28% chance
Spread Lean54% chance
Alt Total Points Lean54% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot15% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot36% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot34% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot27% chance
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 9%
Try Scorer First × 1 prop Long-shotup to 1%
Tries Over × 2 props Long-shotup to 13%
Try Scorer Last × 3 props Long-shotup to 6%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Dolphins and Sydney Roosters last met on Sat 29 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NRL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Dolphins -12.5 · $100 returned $625

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NRL market — 87 of 147 right (nrl totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Over 44.5
Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $171
Our call on this game: 2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
43.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dolphins

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Sydney Roosters

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 29 Aug

Sydney Roosters vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks (Thomas Flegler Key Factor): Full Match Breakdown & Bets

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters play Dolphins in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 49.5 Total Points, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 49.5 Total Points (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 49.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 49.5 points between them. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dolphins +5.5 on the Line (+100)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins 5.5 Line. On this line Dolphins start with 5.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dolphins to Win the First Half (+150)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins First Half Match Winner. This one only needs Dolphins to be in front at half time. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Thomas Flegler to Score a Try (+1200)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Flegler scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Sydney Roosters v Dolphins. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Thomas Flegler Anytime Try
Ray Stone Try Scorer First
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Tries Over
Jake Averillo Try Scorer Last
Thomas Flegler Try Scorer Last

+ 7 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters — what the model found

Our model graded 27 betting markets for Dolphins at Sydney Roosters — 20 on the game itself and 7 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
7
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 27 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 26 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters — recent results

Sydney Roosters have won 0 of their last 0 games; Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5.

Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–20GOLAway
W26–12SYDAway
W34–16PARHome
W22–0MANAway
W40–32BRIHome

Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters — model preview

Sydney Roosters v Dolphins, 29 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 49.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters play Dolphins in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 49.5 Total Points, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 49.5 Total Points (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 49.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 49.5 points between them. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
68
Total Picks
63.2%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -16.5 ✗ MISS
29 Aug 26 Spread Dolphins +5.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 47.5 ✗ MISS
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -17.5 ✗ MISS
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 43.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 49.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -2.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 54.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -1.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins +1.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -6.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 42.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 39.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -7.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Alt Spread Dolphins -3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The most recent game between them was Saturday 29 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 63.2% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dolphins 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Aug 2026Dolphins @ Roosters12–26Dolphins
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