On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty have been strong, but the Golden State Valkyries have won 7 of their last 10 games, showing solid form. The Valkyries allow opponents to take a lot of three-point shots, which could help them if they hit a few. They also give up a decent number of rebounds, but so does New York. The odds are decent for the Valkyries to keep this game close, and the numbers suggest they have a good chance to cover the spread. The main risk is that New York has the home advantage and could pull ahead. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+130)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Marine Johannes Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Marine Johannes has shown she can really shoot from deep lately, with a few games hitting double digits in three-point attempts. The New York Liberty are on a solid run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, Golden State Valkyries struggle a bit with defending the three-point line, allowing more attempts than most teams. This makes a good chance for Johannes to make her mark. The risk here is that Johannes' three-pointers made have varied quite a bit, with some games seeing her hit none at all. However, with the right flow in this matchup and the defense she's facing, going for over 1.5 three-pointers seems worth a shot at these odds. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been showing some solid play lately, and with the New York Liberty at home, they'll look to keep up the momentum. The Golden State Valkyries have been allowing quite a few assists in their games, which makes this a good opportunity for Jones to shine. She needs to dish out at least three assists, and considering how the Valkyries let players rack up assists, there's a good chance she can do it. However, the matchup is tough since both teams are pretty close in skills. Jones will have to navigate a solid defense to reach that number, but with the right setup, she can find her teammates and create scoring chances. This bet feels like a fair shot, but remember, it could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been a bit up and down lately, which makes betting on her to grab more than 5.5 rebounds and assists tricky. She's been playing anywhere from 14 to 32 minutes, so her chances can vary widely. The New York Liberty often let opponents get a good number of rebounds, but Gabby hasn't been consistently involved in the action lately. The Golden State Valkyries also allow a fair number of rebounds, so this matchup is pretty balanced. The risk is that Gabby could have a night where she connects and gets more stats, but given her recent performances, it feels like a smart move to take the under. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.