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Model picks & player props
Boise State Broncos
VS
Oregon Ducks

Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NCAAF
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 7:30PM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
67.2%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Boise State Broncos 21.5 Alt Spread +134

The model graded 24 markets for Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $234 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 67.2% across 137 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 5 Sep 2026, 7:30PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.3%
The price says41.1%
Best price+134
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread Boise State Broncos 21.5 High65% chance +134
Alt Total Points High67% chance
Alt Spread High96% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot39% chance
Alt Total Points Lean58% chance
Alt Spread High94% chance
Alt Spread High98% chance
Alt Spread High97% chance
Alt Spread High99% chance
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 96%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Boise State Broncos and Oregon Ducks last met on Sat 5 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Boise State Broncos 21.5 · $100 returned $225

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 212 of 394 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Over 46
Wisconsin Badgers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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STAKE $100RETURNS $193
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Boise State Broncos
+7
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boise State Broncos

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Oregon Ducks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 6 Sep

Oregon Ducks vs Boise State Broncos Prediction & Picks (Jamari Johnson Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Oregon Ducks play Boise State Broncos in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Boise State Broncos +25 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Boise State Broncos +25 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Boise State Broncos 25 Point Spread. On this line Boise State Broncos start with 25 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 53 Total Points (+110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 53 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 53 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Boise State Broncos to Win (+1550)

Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Boise State Broncos Moneyline. This one only needs Boise State Broncos to win the game. It was priced at +1550 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $165 if it lands. That price was showing at BetMGM. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1550 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $165 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jamari Johnson Under 3.5 Catches (+116)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jamari Johnson Under 3.5 Receptions. This wins if Jamari Johnson finishes with fewer than 3.5 receptions. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ben Ford Under 2.5 Catches (+100)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Ben Ford Under 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Ben Ford finishes with fewer than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordon Davison Over 1.5 Catches (+152)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jordon Davison Over 1.5 Receptions. This wins if Jordon Davison finishes with more than 1.5 receptions. It was priced at +152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.20 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jamari Johnson ORE Receptions
Ben Ford Receptions
Jeremiah McClellan ORE Receptions
Jordon Davison ORE Receptions

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Boise State Broncos @ Oregon Ducks — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Boise State Broncos at Oregon Ducks — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boise State Broncos @ Oregon Ducks — model preview

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos, 6 September 2026. Top of the list: Boise State Broncos +25 on the Line. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Oregon Ducks play Boise State Broncos in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Boise State Broncos +25 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Boise State Broncos +25 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Oregon Ducks host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Boise State Broncos 25 Point Spread. On this line Boise State Broncos start with 25 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
137
Total Picks
67.2%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 38 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 66 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Total Points Over 51.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +45.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +34 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +35 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +46 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +46.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 56 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 32 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread Boise State Broncos +44.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 60 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 74 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 51 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 68 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Broncos vs Ducks, or as Ducks vs Broncos. The most recent game between them was Saturday 5 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 67.2% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Oregon Ducks 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Sep 2026Boise State Broncos @ Oregon Ducks34–27Oregon Ducks
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