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Model picks & player props
Udinese
VS
Monza

Udinese vs Monza Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:45AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug 2026, 4:30PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Udinese -0.25 Spread -110

The model graded 18 markets for Udinese vs Monza (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 29 Aug 2026, 4:30PM at U-Power Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.3%
The price says49.6%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Udinese -0.25 Lean52% chance -110
Spread High62% chance
Draw No Bet High62% chance
Moneyline Lean43% chance
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean43% chance
Spread High66% chance
Spread Lean43% chance
Spread Long-shot36% chance
Spread High97% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Udinese and Monza last met on Sat 29 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Udinese -0.25 · $100 returned $191

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Udinese
+0.25
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UdineseSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Udinese

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Monza

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Udinese vs Monza: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 29 Aug

Monza vs Udinese Prediction & Picks (Serie A): Winning Game Angles

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Monza play Udinese in Serie A. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Monza vs Udinese: Udinese -0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese -0.25 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Udinese, the form book heavily favors the visitors. Monza has been struggling at home, managing just one win in their last five matches, while their scoring woes are evident—they're averaging a mere 0.6 goals at home, with opponents racking up an average of 2.4 against them. In stark contrast, Udinese has found their stride away from home, netting two goals per game in their last five outings. With an average expected goals (xG) output of zero for Monza, it's clear they’re not creating the chances needed to turn their fortunes around. Meanwhile, Udinese's attacking prowess, combined with Monza's defensive frailties, sets the stage for an away victory. Betting on Udinese at -0.25 seems like a savvy move, as they look primed to capitalize on Monza’s struggles and secure all three points.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese +0 Goal Handicap (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to face Udinese, recent trends paint a stark picture. Monza has struggled at home, tallying just one win in their last five matches, and averaging a meager 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 2.4. Their xG stats reveal an alarming inability to create meaningful chances—zero expected goals in their last five outings. On the other hand, Udinese's recent form shows more promise. They've scored twice in their last away game, averaging 2 goals over their last five while conceding only 0.8. The difference in attacking efficiency is glaring, and with Udinese’s solid track record against Monza—boasting a 3-1-1 record in their last five encounters—betting on Udinese to at least draw seems a savvy move. Their momentum and Monza’s struggles suggest this handicap bet is well worth a look.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese Draw No Bet (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the clash between Monza and Udinese, a bet on Udinese in the Draw No Bet market stands out. Monza has struggled at home, with just one win in their last five, averaging a mere 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.4. Their xG numbers paint a stark picture—zero in their last five at home. On the flip side, Udinese comes in with a solid away record, scoring an impressive two goals per game in their recent outings. Their ability to create chances is evident, averaging 10.6 shots per game away from home. With both teams’ recent form heavily favoring Udinese, it's clear they have the upper hand. Given Monza's defensive frailties and Udinese's attacking prowess, backing Udinese here seems like a smart move.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese Moneyline (+125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Udinese, the trends strongly favor the visitors. Monza has been struggling at home, with a dismal record of just one win in their last five matches and a startling average of only 0.6 goals scored. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.4 goals at home, and they’re generating virtually no expected goals (xG) to show for their efforts. Conversely, Udinese is finding their rhythm away from home, scoring an impressive 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Their attack is lively, averaging over 10 shots per match and maintaining a solid xG. Given Monza's recent form and Udinese's ability to capitalize on defensive lapses, backing Udinese to secure the win seems like the smart play. They’re poised to take advantage of Monza’s struggles and emerge victorious in this matchup.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese Moneyline (+125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When Monza hosts Udinese, recent form tells a compelling story favoring the visitors. Monza’s home record is concerning, with just one win in their last five, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding a staggering 2.4. Their xG numbers reflect a lack of creativity, sitting at a dismal zero over the last five games at home. In contrast, Udinese has found a groove on the road, averaging 2 goals per game in their last five away fixtures, showcasing a more potent attack and defensive stability, conceding only 0.8. With a head-to-head record that leans in Udinese's favor (1 win in their last 5 encounters against Monza), it's hard to ignore the momentum and statistical trends suggesting that Udinese can capitalize on Monza’s struggles. Betting on Udinese to win feels like a wise investment in this matchup.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese +0.25 Goal Handicap (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between Monza and Udinese, the trends tell a compelling story favoring the visitors. Monza's recent home form is troubling, with just one win in their last five and a paltry average of 0.6 goals scored at home, while their defense has shipped an average of 2.4 goals. Meanwhile, Udinese has been finding their stride away from home, averaging two goals over their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack that Monza's shaky backline is unlikely to withstand. Their previous encounters lean in Udinese’s favor, with a solid 3-1-1 record against Monza in their last five meetings. Considering these factors, a bet on Udinese with a 0.25 handicap seems a smart play; they have the momentum, the attacking prowess, and the historical edge to secure a positive result in this matchup.

That is how our model reads Monza v Udinese. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineUdinese @ MonzaNo line posted
1-3-2past meetings (last 6)
Home form2-2-16Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins1 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Monza have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreUdinese @ MonzaNo line posted
5 / 6past meetings, both scored
Monza50%Udinese50%Free board12-9
past meetings, both scored5 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Monza's and 50% of Udinese's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsUdinese @ MonzaNo line posted
96%model over %
4 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg2.5
past meetings, over 2.54 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Over at 96% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Udinese @ Monza — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Udinese at Monza — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Udinese @ Monza — model preview

Monza v Udinese, 29 August 2026. Top of the list: Monza vs Udinese: Udinese -0.25 Goal Handicap. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Monza play Udinese in Serie A. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Monza vs Udinese: Udinese -0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Monza vs Udinese: Udinese -0.25 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Udinese, the form book heavily favors the visitors. Monza has been struggling at home, managing just one win in their last five matches, while their scoring woes are evident—they're averaging a mere 0.6 goals at home, with opponents racking up an average of 2.4 against them. In stark contrast, Udinese has found their stride away from home, netting two goals per game in their last five outings. With an average expected goals (xG) output of zero for Monza, it's clear they’re not creating the chances needed to turn their fortunes around. Meanwhile, Udinese's attacking prowess, combined with Monza's defensive frailties, sets the stage for an away victory. Betting on Udinese at -0.25 seems like a savvy move, as they look primed to capitalize on Monza’s struggles and secure all three points.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
17
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Aug 26 Both Teams to Score No ✗ MISS
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese +0.25 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Udinese ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Draw No Bet Udinese ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese -0.75 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese -0.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese -0.25 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese 0 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Spread Udinese +1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Udinese vs Monza in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 29 August 2026 at U-Power Stadium. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Udinese 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Aug 2026Udinese @ Monza2–3Udinese
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