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Model picks & player props
Genoa
VS
Parma

Genoa vs Parma Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Yes Both Teams to Score -105

The model graded 18 markets for Genoa vs Parma (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM at Stadio Ennio Tardini.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.6%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score Yes Lean60% chance -105
Both Teams to Score Lean55% chance —
Spread High97% chance —
Spread High96% chance —
Spread High89% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot39% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot39% chance —
Spread High85% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot28% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Parma are the model's favourite to beat Genoa, with a 61% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 20 Sep, 1:00PM at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Best bet: Yes at -105.
How they've been scoring this season
GenoaParma
Won-lost0-3-00-2-1
Goals scored per game0.30.3
Goals allowed per game2.31.3
On the road / at home0-1-0 away0-1-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLLLD
Their games average 2.2 total goals this season.
From the 3 Genoa and 3 Parma games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
Yes
-105
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ParmaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ParmaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Parma

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Genoa vs Parma: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
5-0-3past meetings (last 8)
Home form3-8-9Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins5 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Parma have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3.

Both Teams to ScoreGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Parma50%Genoa50%Free board16-13
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Parma's and 50% of Genoa's recent matches.

Total GoalsGenoa @ ParmaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.545%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them.

SpreadGenoa @ ParmaParma +1.5 -833
86%model cover %
5-0-3past meetings (last 8)
Home margin-0.5Away margin-0.1

Parma on the +1.5 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 86%.

Genoa @ Parma — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Genoa at Parma — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Genoa @ Parma — model preview

Expert analysis and top Serie A betting picks for Parma vs Genoa. Featuring picks like NA player props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Parma vs Genoa: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Yes' bet on Both Teams to Score in the Parma vs Genoa game is based on their recent scoring trends. Both teams have consistently scored in their recent matches. Parma's average team score at home over the last five games is 1.2, while Genoa's average team score away is 0.6. On the defensive side, Parma concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home and Genoa concedes 1.2 goals away. This suggests that both teams have vulnerabilities in their defenses that their opponent could exploit. Furthermore, the expected goals (xG) statistics, which measure the quality of chances created and conceded, also support this bet. Parma's xG at home is 1.28 while Genoa's xG away is 0.92. These figures indicate that both teams are likely to score in this match.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
18 Jan 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Moneyline Draw ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Genoa vs Parma in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Even at 0–0 across the last meeting · 1 draw
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Genoa @ Parma0–0Draw
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