Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies: Yusei Kikuchi Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-141)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Yusei Kikuchi has been really solid lately, allowing only about 3.5 runs per nine innings. That's better than the league average, which can give him a good chance against the Angels, who have struggled at home this season with a record of 29 wins to 40 losses. Meanwhile, the Phillies have been strong, winning 8 of their last 10 games, but they have a similar hitting performance against left-handed pitchers as the Angels this year.
The wind is blowing out toward the outfield tonight, which could help hitters, but Kikuchi's recent form makes this a tricky matchup. The risk here is that the Phillies are playing great baseball and could put up more runs than expected. Still, betting on Kikuchi to keep it under 2.5 earned runs feels like a smart move given what we know.