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The latest Bet Better model pick for Yainer Diaz is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 13 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 13%, implied 6%, edge -0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10
Under 2.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:34AM UTC
MLB

Yainer Diaz

MLB

-0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1700 (18.00) · $100→$1,800
-0.2% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 5.4% · the book's price implies 5.6% · gap -0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored5.4%13.3%5.6%7.50-0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1700)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For Yainer Diaz to score over 1.5 runs tonight, he'll need to get on base and find a way to cross home plate. The Phillies have been strong lately, averaging 1.4 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games, which gives Diaz a great chance to score if he gets on. Plus, they've shown they can handle left-handed pitchers well, which is key since Diaz will be facing one tonight. However, Yainer Diaz hasn't been drawing walks at home, and that could limit his chances. Even though he averages more total bases away than at home, he'll need to step up tonight to help his team. At these odds, it's a real long shot, but with the right breaks, he could surprise us.

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Pick History & Track Record

Yainer Diaz's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Yainer Diaz hit?

Yainer Diaz's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Yainer Diaz hit?

Yainer Diaz's batter hits line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Yainer Diaz is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Yainer Diaz has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 44% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.544%
o1.533%
o2.522%
o3.511%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Yainer Diaz is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against LAA.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
2.2
Hits · vs LAA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs LAA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Yainer Diaz hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -400 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Yainer Diaz is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Yainer Diaz is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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