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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Murphy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 44%, implied 52%, edge -8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 6:12AM UTC
MLB

Sean Murphy

ATH

-8.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
-8.7% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 43.7% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap -8.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits43.7%—52.4%2.29-8.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies: Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Sean Murphy has had a tough time getting hits at Truist Park lately, averaging just one hit per game over his last ten games. The Atlanta Braves have struggled a bit too, scoring 0.4 runs less than expected in their last 12 games. On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies have been solid, scoring 1.3 runs more than expected in their last 12. With Sean going up against a strong Phillies pitching staff, there's a solid chance he might not get a hit today. The Braves' overall hitting against lefties is decent, but not enough to make me super confident in Murphy getting on base. He could certainly surprise us, but this pick has a good chance of winning.

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Pick History & Track Record

Sean Murphy's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
-120 best over price · 5 books

Sean Murphy's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -120 across 5 books.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Sean Murphy's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Sean Murphy is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.8
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.4
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Sean Murphy has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 44% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.544%
o1.533%
o2.522%
o3.511%
o4.511%

Home / away and opponent splits

Sean Murphy is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in home games, including his recent form against CHC.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.6
Hits · Home
0.5
Hits · vs CHC
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
0.3
HR · vs CHC
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +168 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sean Murphy (ATH) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Murphy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Friday 11 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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