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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Olson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 60%, edge +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 6:09AM UTC
MLB

Matt Olson

ATL

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+0.6% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.1% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap +0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases60.1%55.6%59.5%1.80+0.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies: Matt Olson Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Matt Olson faces the Philadelphia Phillies at Truist Park, and it looks like a tough matchup for him. The Phillies have been scoring well lately, averaging over a run more than the Braves in their recent games. While Olson has been decent this season, he often finds it challenging to get multiple hits against solid pitching. Our numbers suggest he might struggle to reach 1.5 total bases today. Olson has averaged less than one hit per game at home recently, and with the way the Phillies have been playing, there's a good chance he falls short. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so anything could happen, but it seems likely Olson won't get those extra bases today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 65.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Matt Olson's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
+120 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Matt Olson hit?

Matt Olson's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +120 across 6 books.

Batter Hits 0.5
-208 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Matt Olson hit?

Matt Olson's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -208 across 5 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Matt Olson is averaging 1.2 hits, 0.4 home runs and 1.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.2
Hits
0.4
HR
1.2
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Matt Olson has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%
o5.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Matt Olson is averaging 1.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in home games, including his recent form against WSN.

1.2
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Home
1.2
Hits · vs WSN
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs WSN
Quick answers:How many home runs does Matt Olson hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles — — — Pending
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Walks — — — Pending
10 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matt Olson (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 65.0% on tracked Matt Olson picks. The latest model pick for Matt Olson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Friday 11 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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